The section 135 years Bulgarian statistics contains the article:
• 90 years since the first survey on household budgets in Bulgaria - author Bogdan Bogdanov Ph.D., National Statistical Institute - Sofia
The analytical report notes the 135th anniversary of the creation of the state statistics in Bulgaria and the 90th anniversary of the first household budgets survey in the country. That commemorates the works of statisticians, who held for the first time a unique sample survey on the budgets of 1385 households in March 1925. The highest proportion in the household’s survey has the serving official’s households - 1 243 households, followed by those of workers - 82 households and artisans - 60 households. The results of the survey were published in two books in 1928 by the General Directorate of Statistics. It is interesting to note that the publications reflected the individual budgets of the observed officials and employees, with numbers from 1 to 1243.
This analytical report is a brief overview of the development of household budgets over the years as one of the important researches carried out regularly by the National Statistical Institute from 1953 till nowadays.
The section Statistical research and analysis contains the article:
• Use of social networks information on the internet opportunities, challenges and problems - author Prof. Svetlana Saykova, Centre for Empirical Social Research at the Institute for the Study of Societies and Knowledge, BAS
The article deals with the opportunities to use the information generated when communicating on the Internet, in order to develop and enrich the statistical surveys. It is noted that particularly in the field of statistical theory and in practice, these options still remain unappreciated and ignored. Special emphasis is placed on the challenges and problems affecting important theoretical, methodological and practical problems. They certainly deserve increased interest from statistical communities - researchers and practical experts. Some classifications/systematizations mainly of the expected results - the theoretical and methodological problems are being offered.
• Research on state and use of tourist bed places in Bulgaria - author Assoc. Prof., Ph.D. ‘Trade and tourism business’, AA ‘Dimitar Tzenov’ - Svishtov
Object of the study is the dynamics and structure of tourist bed places in Bulgaria. Monitored is the status and use of tourist bed places through relevant indicators based on available official statistics. Covered is the period 2009 - 2014, and the deductive approach has been applied. From the analysis of tourist bed places in the country as a whole there is a transition to its research at the level of statistical regions (NUTS2) and level of areas (NUTS3). The basic characteristic of the process of quantitative change of the establishments, providing beds in Bulgaria, in recent years is established as a result of the analysis. Assessed is the use, occupancy and average degree of seasonality of tourist bed places. The specifics of its current state, territorial and categorical allocation are pointed out.
• A practical approach for stratification of population - author Stefan Tsonev, National Statistical Institute - Sofia
This article describes means for optimal stratification of population by a coefficient of variation for the purpose of broadcast of excerpts in simultaneously set volume and a maximum error.
This approach uses multiple iterations and is applicable in the presence of computing equipment.
Proposed is a formula for approximate estimation of the desired coefficient of variation.
The results of a sample survey of pesticide use in agriculture are provided as an example.
• Comparing the physical volume of the gross domestic product and price levels between countries in Europe - author Jeyna Barbolova, National Statistical Institute – Sofia
Standardized national accounts provide a coherent macroeconomic framework of the entire economy of a country, taking into account GDP growth in different periods – i.e. time comparisons.
Meanwhile for official exchange rates are not suitable for international comparisons of key value indicators because they are determined by supply and demand in the currency markets and apart from price difference other elements are reflected in them (international currency transactions, difference in interest rates, etc.).
In order to obtain pure indices of the physical volume it is necessary to use specific exchange rates, which converting the national currency into a single currency show how many goods and services are purchased in local currency within the country. The calculation of purchasing power parities (PPP) is a step towards comparing economic welfare between countries – i.e. spatial comparisons.
In brief are discussed history, legal basis, methodology and work development and disclosure of the results of the European Comparison Programme (PES) - a natural extension of national accounts in which the analysis of GDP and the main value indicators takes place in spatial rather than dynamic cross-section. Its main objective is measuring the differences in both price levels of goods and services as well as in economic development between countries in Europe.
A brief analysis of the express results is made for comparing physical volumes and relative price levels in 37 European countries - partners in PES in 2014.
• Benefits and challenges of the restructuring process in the national statistical institute - authors Iva Todorova, KPMG Bulgaria’ LTD, and Vihar Georgiev, KPMG Bulgaria’ LTD
The article deals with the challenges that affect the organizational development of the NSI for the period until 2020, as well as the main elements and benefits of the model for organizational optimization, aiming to overcome the identified challenges. Organizational development challenges before the NSI consist of increase in the statistical information needs of stakeholders, diversification of the available data sources and reduction of the burden on respondents. They are globally determined by the emerging mega-trends as the increasing role of citizens in the management, technological advances and new opportunities for information exchange, higher expectations for institutions and limited budgetary resources. In the model for organizational optimization are planned measures grouped into three chronological phases and five thematic fields, including organizational structure and functions, strategic management, basic business processes, human resources and Information and Communication Technologies (ICT). The starting point for further modernization of the NSI is the awareness of the need for optimization of activities in view of the challenges and opportunities for development, and the final point - effective and efficient National Statistical Institute, functioning in harmony with the needs of the stakeholders on the basis of the integrated model the statistical business process.
The section Information, reviews, consultations includes the following:
• Information on conducted international meeting - author Milen Kolev, National Statistical Institute - Sofia
In the period 2 - 3 July 2015 in Luxembourg was conducted a meeting of the Committee on Monetary and financial statistics and balance of payments statistics.
Organizers of the meeting were the statistical office of the European Commission - Eurostat, the European Central Bank.
Representatives of all Member - States of the European Union (EU) countries - candidates for EU membership, the European Central Bank and the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development took part in the meeting.
During the meetings of the Committee on Monetary and financial statistics and balance of payments statistics were reviewed and discussed issues related to:
- Report on the quality of statistical indicators underlying the tables of macroeconomic imbalances
- Decision to form a technical group to study and provide information on the identifier of the business units relevant to the production of statistical information
- Initiative for standardization of data the IMF - SDDS plus. Participants in the meeting were presented with a proposal for a questionnaire, the results of which will provide advice and support to countries - EU member states on the most effective ways to implement and transition to SDDS plus standard.
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