6.2.4. Projected old - age dependency ratio by districts and sex until 2080

Statistical domain
Projected old - age dependency ratio by districts and sex until 2080
Time series
Pop_6.2.4_Pop_DR_EN.xls

PROJECTED OLD - AGE DEPENDENCY RATIO BY DISTRICTS END SEX UNTIL 2080
(%)
Districts
Sex		 I variant (target)1
Years
2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 2070 2075 2080
Bulgaria 34.30 36.69 38.48 40.84 44.69 49.08 52.65 56.66 56.14 53.04 50.75 51.07 52.03
Male 27.14 29.09 30.80 33.33 37.33 41.86 45.66 49.54 49.19 46.46 44.62 45.27 46.53
Female 41.67 44.54 46.41 48.58 52.29 56.54 59.86 64.01 63.33 59.83 57.09 57.09 57.73
Blagoevgrad 32.17 38.28 44.30 50.24 56.11 62.67 70.00 79.79 81.12 75.99 71.39 69.94 68.03
Male 26.85 32.11 37.23 42.30 47.79 53.89 61.00 68.81 70.02 65.78 61.94 61.26 60.36
Female 37.55 44.54 51.54 58.44 64.72 71.80 79.38 91.48 93.02 86.92 81.50 79.23 76.24
Burgas 31.45 34.52 36.90 39.73 45.25 51.19 55.96 59.52 58.13 54.75 52.20 53.06 53.52
Male 25.36 27.65 29.69 32.56 38.05 44.21 49.33 52.53 51.11 47.92 45.78 46.99 47.81
Female 37.61 41.51 44.25 47.04 52.56 58.26 62.64 66.61 65.26 61.72 58.76 59.27 59.38
Varna 29.98 31.73 33.27 35.74 41.05 47.20 52.63 57.46 56.68 53.99 52.16 54.03 55.44
Male 23.92 25.17 26.42 29.05 34.23 40.00 44.79 48.72 48.06 45.68 44.57 47.00 49.23
Female 36.18 38.48 40.34 42.61 48.08 54.67 60.82 66.72 65.82 62.83 60.24 61.53 62.06
Veliko Tarnovo 38.55 41.01 42.18 43.20 46.02 49.78 52.99 64.17 66.35 64.08 62.51 62.25 63.52
Male 30.86 32.66 33.65 34.67 37.84 41.51 44.94 54.54 56.43 54.71 53.87 54.40 56.36
Female 46.45 49.70 51.13 52.27 54.76 58.72 61.75 74.89 77.51 74.64 72.25 71.09 71.60
Vidin 51.19 51.58 52.99 57.54 65.38 72.15 75.88 78.32 77.78 74.04 72.77 73.51 73.04
Male 39.86 40.88 43.04 48.02 56.09 62.51 66.51 69.03 68.94 65.72 65.68 66.72 66.48
Female 63.72 63.36 63.90 68.01 75.64 82.88 86.31 88.63 87.58 83.28 80.60 81.04 80.35
Vratsa 39.73 42.38 45.24 49.89 55.15 59.20 61.56 63.71 64.31 62.73 61.11 60.68 60.16
Male 31.13 33.49 36.35 41.08 46.14 49.94 52.70 55.67 56.53 55.37 54.17 54.34 54.30
Female 49.03 52.02 54.88 59.46 64.97 69.38 71.27 72.47 72.79 70.79 68.74 67.65 66.58
Gabrovo 49.66 52.35 55.95 60.70 68.42 76.65 81.93 88.45 88.40 82.56 78.15 76.72 75.62
Male 38.16 40.21 43.30 47.93 55.62 63.66 70.38 78.50 80.65 75.71 71.96 70.90 70.27
Female 61.99 65.46 69.79 74.77 82.59 91.15 94.63 99.20 96.62 89.79 84.67 82.85 81.22
Dobrich 35.62 38.39 41.47 45.78 51.02 55.15 58.36 61.53 61.43 59.15 58.08 59.35 59.84
Male 28.24 30.06 32.79 36.98 42.00 46.07 49.67 53.83 54.16 52.34 51.70 53.48 54.22
Female 43.27 47.11 50.58 55.03 60.54 64.77 67.56 69.60 69.04 66.30 64.77 65.51 65.73
Kardzhali 33.33 39.85 45.48 50.13 55.04 61.98 67.81 71.14 70.88 66.04 62.57 61.49 60.81
Male 27.73 33.20 38.44 43.15 48.61 55.96 61.40 64.28 63.84 58.89 55.22 54.30 54.33
Female 39.24 46.92 52.92 57.45 61.68 68.13 74.37 78.18 78.09 73.38 70.13 68.91 67.47
Kyustendil 46.60 50.95 55.25 61.30 68.29 75.53 80.41 81.55 78.06 72.17 68.01 66.13 65.11
Male 36.60 40.22 44.31 50.08 56.66 64.57 70.69 73.58 71.11 65.90 62.28 60.37 59.21
Female 57.27 62.39 66.85 73.19 80.63 87.04 90.46 89.64 85.06 78.46 73.74 71.91 71.05
Lovech 45.86 48.25 50.86 55.41 60.58 64.36 65.30 66.13 64.94 62.30 61.11 61.54 61.61
Male 36.05 38.24 41.00 45.38 50.74 55.18 56.74 58.49 58.16 56.06 55.37 55.64 55.34
Female 56.42 58.97 61.35 66.14 71.11 74.13 74.37 74.16 72.03 68.83 67.12 67.74 68.25
Montana 44.14 45.48 46.91 49.37 53.42 56.16 57.59 58.90 59.15 57.12 55.31 55.12 55.74
Male 34.75 36.13 37.77 40.70 44.82 48.08 50.46 52.40 52.72 50.77 49.09 49.00 50.18
Female 54.20 55.44 56.67 58.56 62.54 64.69 65.02 65.64 65.81 63.73 61.81 61.51 61.53
Pazardzhik 33.39 38.11 42.38 46.79 50.96 55.25 59.28 62.67 61.79 58.71 56.58 56.17 56.08
Male 25.99 30.09 33.97 38.05 42.24 47.02 51.56 55.29 54.63 52.03 50.13 50.14 50.29
Female 41.16 46.58 51.26 56.04 60.17 63.89 67.33 70.35 69.28 65.69 63.31 62.46 62.14
Pernik 41.97 46.49 50.59 55.14 61.69 70.32 77.23 79.54 76.11 70.63 65.45 64.67 63.68
Male 33.15 36.80 40.06 44.32 50.56 59.18 66.66 70.08 67.35 62.38 58.17 57.98 57.75
Female 51.30 56.80 61.90 66.79 73.68 82.30 88.52 89.56 85.39 79.41 73.17 71.76 69.96
Pleven 44.09 46.74 48.20 50.31 53.35 55.41 55.98 56.94 56.09 53.20 51.09 50.81 50.70
Male 35.13 37.59 39.33 41.79 45.43 48.41 49.75 51.59 50.64 47.86 45.80 45.36 45.38
Female 53.52 56.30 57.38 59.05 61.40 62.44 62.17 62.18 61.43 58.43 56.28 56.19 55.96
Plovdiv 33.22 35.59 37.05 39.07 42.17 46.30 49.66 53.06 52.46 49.65 47.63 47.79 48.91
Male 26.09 28.03 29.33 31.56 34.85 39.09 42.69 45.65 45.22 42.84 41.22 41.83 43.40
Female 40.37 43.19 44.82 46.61 49.52 53.52 56.64 60.53 59.77 56.54 54.13 53.84 54.51
Razgrad 34.42 37.46 41.00 45.68 50.28 53.88 56.38 58.22 60.06 58.72 57.98 58.38 58.79
Male 27.12 29.76 33.57 38.58 43.40 47.24 50.09 51.74 53.30 52.16 51.40 51.58 51.88
Female 42.03 45.47 48.66 52.95 57.28 60.61 62.71 64.75 66.88 65.34 64.64 65.31 65.86
Ruse 37.69 39.49 41.20 43.36 47.10 50.40 53.21 57.35 58.72 56.40 54.84 55.68 56.37
Male 29.36 30.99 32.54 34.77 38.28 41.78 45.09 49.63 52.06 50.44 49.64 50.55 51.82
Female 46.58 48.57 50.57 52.73 56.83 59.98 62.21 65.90 66.03 62.94 60.52 61.32 61.34
Silistra 40.13 43.00 46.63 50.65 54.74 57.22 59.34 61.57 61.05 58.16 56.44 56.52 56.50
Male 32.08 34.30 37.86 42.32 46.56 49.55 52.86 55.76 55.24 52.36 51.16 51.20 50.94
Female 48.64 52.18 55.80 59.27 63.16 65.04 65.84 67.33 66.82 63.91 61.65 61.77 62.01
Sliven 32.98 35.33 37.20 38.21 40.06 42.11 42.82 43.01 41.53 39.35 38.38 38.30 38.95
Male 25.82 27.81 29.63 30.69 32.61 35.06 36.56 37.58 36.48 34.74 34.02 34.14 34.93
Female 40.35 43.12 45.06 46.07 47.88 49.54 49.39 48.68 46.81 44.17 42.96 42.68 43.19
Smolyan 40.18 50.38 60.05 68.58 76.35 86.42 96.96 105.45 103.07 96.07 89.47 88.06 83.17
Male 31.06 38.92 46.85 53.96 60.87 71.00 82.70 92.97 92.46 87.00 81.27 79.57 74.72
Female 49.86 62.77 74.48 84.78 93.67 103.68 112.75 119.08 114.57 105.86 98.31 97.28 92.43
Sofia (stolitsa) 26.27 26.86 26.59 27.48 30.48 34.72 38.57 44.25 44.47 41.93 40.15 41.41 43.90
Male 20.27 20.58 20.56 21.84 25.07 29.28 32.97 38.21 38.39 36.13 34.69 36.19 38.80
Female 32.19 33.09 32.59 33.08 35.86 40.13 44.17 50.31 50.58 47.77 45.66 46.68 49.08
Sofia 38.18 41.21 44.79 49.55 55.71 62.22 67.61 71.51 71.67 69.93 67.83 67.95 67.52
Male 30.24 32.85 36.22 40.65 46.34 52.97 58.66 63.41 63.82 62.64 61.75 62.41 62.09
Female 46.76 50.33 54.16 59.36 66.16 72.53 77.58 80.49 80.39 78.04 74.55 74.06 73.52
Stara Zagora 36.72 39.12 40.97 43.30 47.38 51.89 55.26 57.88 56.99 54.19 51.95 51.90 52.91
Male 28.59 30.41 32.13 34.93 39.45 44.62 48.85 51.28 50.06 47.34 45.51 45.68 46.92
Female 45.13 48.15 50.11 51.91 55.49 59.26 61.68 64.52 64.00 61.14 58.49 58.22 59.01
Targovishte 34.85 37.36 40.37 43.66 47.69 51.16 53.39 54.73 55.23 53.27 52.16 52.30 53.17
Male 27.49 30.00 32.97 36.53 40.96 44.71 47.24 49.27 49.71 47.56 46.49 46.59 47.49
Female 42.57 45.05 48.10 51.09 54.66 57.82 59.73 60.31 60.88 59.14 57.99 58.23 59.08
Haskovo 37.05 40.55 43.06 45.66 50.19 55.33 59.05 60.90 59.74 56.34 53.59 53.41 54.10
Male 29.42 32.48 34.54 37.01 41.75 46.97 51.54 53.68 53.22 50.15 47.52 47.37 48.38
Female 45.09 49.04 52.11 54.85 59.14 64.20 66.95 68.51 66.57 62.84 59.98 59.81 60.16
Shumen 33.93 37.36 40.28 43.97 49.48 54.61 59.26 64.76 66.57 64.14 62.88 63.36 64.42
Male 26.85 29.76 32.69 36.66 42.03 46.89 51.09 56.03 57.84 56.18 55.70 56.94 58.62
Female 41.37 45.43 48.37 51.77 57.48 62.98 68.19 74.40 76.26 72.93 70.81 70.42 70.81
Yambol 40.36 42.71 44.92 46.07 48.15 50.56 51.84 52.80 51.12 48.77 47.08 47.05 47.89
Male 32.64 34.61 36.57 37.68 39.87 42.75 44.80 46.19 44.99 43.19 41.89 42.14 43.25
Female 48.52 51.29 53.80 55.04 57.05 58.93 59.37 59.89 57.72 54.77 52.66 52.34 52.90
Districts
Sex		 II variant (relative acceleration)2
Years
2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 2070 2075 2080
Bulgaria 34.45 37.32 39.83 43.09 47.99 53.48 58.14 63.34 63.71 61.02 58.79 59.06 59.74
Male 27.28 29.67 32.08 35.51 40.58 46.33 51.40 56.64 57.25 54.91 53.10 53.71 54.71
Female 41.83 45.23 47.86 50.96 55.68 60.89 65.14 70.30 70.42 67.38 64.73 64.64 65.00
Blagoevgrad 32.26 38.69 45.25 51.94 58.65 66.13 74.35 84.92 86.63 81.48 76.68 74.83 72.08
Male 26.93 32.51 38.17 44.02 50.40 57.50 65.66 74.48 76.30 72.17 68.15 67.03 65.22
Female 37.65 44.99 52.53 60.15 67.22 75.13 83.43 96.05 97.71 91.45 85.82 83.16 79.41
Burgas 31.58 35.07 38.09 41.77 48.32 55.37 61.27 65.96 65.36 62.34 59.68 60.23 60.15
Male 25.48 28.18 30.86 34.57 41.13 48.54 55.00 59.51 58.95 56.02 53.66 54.54 54.82
Female 37.75 42.09 45.49 49.14 55.66 62.34 67.64 72.53 71.92 68.83 65.86 66.11 65.66
Varna 30.10 32.25 34.37 37.59 43.83 51.04 57.61 63.73 63.93 61.80 60.06 61.86 62.86
Male 24.03 25.66 27.49 30.87 37.02 43.99 50.12 55.49 55.87 53.96 52.88 55.34 57.32
Female 36.31 39.02 41.50 44.53 50.88 58.39 65.49 72.49 72.51 70.17 67.72 68.83 68.77
Veliko Tarnovo 38.72 41.76 43.76 45.75 49.55 54.25 58.29 70.73 73.83 72.02 70.58 70.25 71.15
Male 31.03 33.37 35.16 37.11 41.31 46.05 50.52 61.68 64.71 63.53 62.87 63.42 64.87
Female 46.65 50.50 52.79 54.95 58.39 63.14 66.77 80.79 84.05 81.53 79.19 77.87 78.14
Vidin 51.45 52.63 55.19 61.14 70.42 78.51 83.44 86.98 87.11 82.96 80.58 80.05 78.06
Male 40.08 41.79 45.00 51.29 60.88 68.94 74.50 78.38 79.02 75.35 74.36 74.45 72.90
Female 64.04 64.58 66.39 72.02 81.00 89.20 93.41 96.55 96.06 91.37 87.43 86.22 83.75
Vratsa 39.93 43.21 47.03 52.93 59.51 64.84 68.38 71.52 72.75 71.10 68.95 67.89 66.59
Male 31.32 34.27 38.07 44.05 50.54 55.81 59.98 64.13 65.74 64.53 62.96 62.70 61.91
Female 49.25 52.93 56.79 62.62 69.35 74.81 77.62 79.58 80.40 78.28 75.51 73.56 71.69
Gabrovo 49.87 53.21 57.83 63.82 72.90 82.40 88.82 96.48 97.03 90.99 85.66 82.88 80.29
Male 38.37 41.00 45.04 50.84 59.93 69.50 77.70 87.36 90.46 85.38 80.82 78.68 76.56
Female 62.21 66.42 71.86 78.17 87.32 96.83 101.10 106.38 104.02 96.93 90.77 87.30 84.20
Dobrich 35.79 39.12 43.08 48.52 55.03 60.41 64.80 69.10 69.72 67.58 66.24 67.11 66.89
Male 28.40 30.74 34.30 39.61 45.94 51.39 56.36 61.89 63.04 61.36 60.57 62.08 62.16
Female 43.46 47.91 52.33 57.92 64.68 70.01 73.79 76.69 76.75 74.12 72.21 72.39 71.86
Kardzhali 33.45 40.38 46.69 52.24 58.21 66.34 73.23 77.34 77.56 72.80 69.16 67.56 66.02
Male 27.84 33.69 39.63 45.23 51.79 60.40 67.05 70.91 71.11 66.15 62.14 60.55 59.79
Female 39.37 47.48 54.17 59.62 64.89 72.45 79.59 83.98 84.21 79.68 76.46 74.86 72.50
Kyustendil 46.81 51.80 57.12 64.48 72.94 81.68 87.92 90.08 86.99 80.79 75.72 72.60 70.14
Male 36.79 41.00 46.10 53.20 61.33 70.99 78.82 83.02 81.07 75.53 71.08 67.95 65.37
Female 57.49 63.32 68.84 76.50 85.36 93.01 97.42 97.32 93.01 86.12 80.44 77.34 75.03
Lovech 46.06 49.06 52.59 58.33 64.73 69.65 71.53 73.19 72.43 69.56 67.79 67.56 66.99
Male 36.23 38.98 42.63 48.17 54.87 60.72 63.46 66.24 66.43 64.21 63.05 62.84 61.96
Female 56.66 59.89 63.24 69.25 75.34 79.20 80.14 80.53 78.73 75.18 72.77 72.54 72.33
Montana 44.37 46.41 48.87 52.54 57.86 61.72 64.13 66.33 67.15 65.10 62.83 62.12 62.21
Male 34.95 36.98 39.58 43.76 49.24 53.83 57.45 60.49 61.51 59.58 57.51 57.00 57.63
Female 54.46 56.50 58.82 61.90 67.05 70.11 71.16 72.43 73.05 70.88 68.42 67.52 67.02
Pazardzhik 33.54 38.76 43.81 49.23 54.52 59.97 65.10 69.35 68.93 65.88 63.56 62.76 61.97
Male 26.14 30.71 35.36 40.48 45.87 51.95 57.78 62.61 62.56 60.09 58.05 57.64 57.07
Female 41.34 47.28 52.76 58.52 63.72 68.45 72.78 76.42 75.62 71.96 69.36 68.13 67.12
Pernik 42.17 47.29 52.34 58.10 66.09 76.35 84.81 88.31 85.50 80.06 74.24 72.25 69.76
Male 33.32 37.53 41.69 47.13 54.87 65.31 74.61 79.58 77.67 72.74 67.84 66.48 64.85
Female 51.53 57.69 63.82 69.98 78.28 88.33 95.81 97.64 93.86 87.90 81.06 78.40 74.97
Pleven 44.29 47.57 49.96 53.18 57.35 60.40 61.82 63.55 63.21 60.31 57.90 57.29 56.82
Male 35.32 38.38 41.02 44.60 49.45 53.62 56.00 58.81 58.46 55.64 53.30 52.53 52.10
Female 53.75 57.19 59.24 62.03 65.43 67.26 67.65 68.23 67.92 64.95 62.49 62.08 61.57
Plovdiv 33.36 36.17 38.28 41.12 45.14 50.30 54.73 59.23 59.46 57.09 55.21 55.37 56.35
Male 26.22 28.58 30.52 33.57 37.84 43.23 48.05 52.26 52.74 50.77 49.23 49.83 51.26
Female 40.52 43.82 46.13 48.73 52.52 57.43 61.47 66.33 66.32 63.55 61.35 61.07 61.59
Razgrad 34.59 38.23 42.70 48.59 54.48 59.37 63.06 65.90 68.45 67.12 66.11 66.11 65.97
Male 27.28 30.46 35.14 41.35 47.52 52.79 56.99 59.74 62.01 60.85 59.90 59.72 59.47
Female 42.23 46.33 50.52 56.03 61.62 66.09 69.22 72.17 75.03 73.52 72.47 72.71 72.72
Ruse 37.87 40.23 42.80 45.98 50.84 55.26 59.17 64.56 66.97 65.09 63.59 64.39 64.78
Male 29.52 31.66 34.00 37.22 41.87 46.59 51.17 57.15 60.81 59.74 59.18 60.19 61.22
Female 46.78 49.41 52.33 55.57 60.78 64.90 68.05 72.77 73.74 70.96 68.40 68.98 68.64
Silistra 40.33 43.80 48.39 53.64 58.95 62.58 65.79 68.99 68.97 66.00 63.96 63.69 63.09
Male 32.26 35.04 39.51 45.19 50.71 55.04 59.65 63.75 63.82 60.89 59.51 59.22 58.27
Female 48.86 53.05 57.71 62.41 67.49 70.34 72.01 74.25 74.13 71.14 68.43 68.17 67.96
Sliven 33.13 35.96 38.53 40.37 43.10 46.00 47.41 48.23 47.19 45.25 44.34 44.24 44.90
Male 25.97 28.40 30.91 32.79 35.61 38.99 41.32 43.12 42.52 41.05 40.41 40.55 41.38
Female 40.52 43.79 46.45 48.31 50.99 53.40 53.82 53.58 52.08 49.66 48.48 48.12 48.62
Smolyan 40.32 51.05 61.67 71.54 80.86 92.56 104.44 113.69 111.44 103.97 96.57 93.62 86.44
Male 31.20 39.57 48.42 56.86 65.34 77.26 90.65 102.29 102.39 96.78 90.48 87.46 80.19
Female 50.02 63.50 76.18 87.85 98.28 109.71 119.74 126.16 121.25 111.71 103.11 100.29 93.25
Sofia (stolitsa) 26.38 27.31 27.55 29.07 32.87 38.05 42.98 50.17 51.63 49.87 48.53 50.25 53.11
Male 20.37 20.99 21.42 23.30 27.30 32.54 37.41 44.29 45.71 44.13 43.05 45.03 48.01
Female 32.32 33.60 33.66 34.83 38.42 43.57 48.59 56.12 57.64 55.70 54.11 55.60 58.35
Sofia 38.36 41.95 46.39 52.25 59.71 67.54 74.22 79.27 80.12 78.45 75.85 75.07 73.42
Male 30.40 33.53 37.74 43.28 50.32 58.49 65.74 71.93 73.20 72.21 70.99 70.88 69.40
Female 46.97 51.15 55.87 62.18 70.21 77.67 83.70 87.40 87.80 85.38 81.20 79.65 77.82
Stara Zagora 36.90 39.81 42.43 45.72 50.89 56.51 60.95 64.59 64.38 61.83 59.42 59.02 59.58
Male 28.75 31.06 33.53 37.27 42.95 49.41 54.97 58.64 58.18 55.67 53.60 53.41 54.14
Female 45.32 48.89 51.67 54.44 59.05 63.75 66.98 70.62 70.71 68.15 65.39 64.79 65.19
Targovishte 35.02 38.08 41.94 46.27 51.47 56.12 59.38 61.62 62.75 60.91 59.65 59.48 59.96
Male 27.65 30.67 34.46 39.04 44.72 49.79 53.50 56.59 57.75 55.71 54.50 54.29 54.76
Female 42.77 45.84 49.77 53.83 58.50 62.68 65.47 66.79 67.89 66.28 64.99 64.90 65.40
Haskovo 37.22 41.24 44.54 48.10 53.80 60.14 64.97 67.76 67.25 64.07 61.12 60.48 60.54
Male 29.57 33.14 35.96 39.40 45.36 51.89 57.77 61.07 61.40 58.54 55.61 55.00 55.41
Female 45.28 49.80 53.66 57.39 62.80 68.94 72.58 74.84 73.40 69.90 66.94 66.30 65.99
Shumen 34.09 38.03 41.75 46.46 53.13 59.42 65.22 71.87 74.51 72.29 70.85 70.89 71.25
Male 26.99 30.38 34.06 39.06 45.64 51.81 57.34 63.60 66.34 64.88 64.24 65.17 66.21
Female 41.55 46.17 49.95 54.38 61.20 67.69 73.85 81.00 83.53 80.45 78.11 77.15 76.74
Yambol 40.57 43.50 46.61 48.79 51.99 55.48 57.65 59.38 58.18 56.02 54.27 54.03 54.62
Male 32.84 35.36 38.22 40.35 43.69 47.78 50.90 53.24 52.67 51.14 49.83 49.92 50.82
Female 48.74 52.13 55.55 57.84 60.95 63.78 64.89 65.99 64.11 61.27 59.05 58.45 58.71
Districts
Sex		 III variant (relative acceleration)3
Years
2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 2070 2075 2080
Bulgaria 34.23 36.39 37.83 39.75 43.10 46.94 49.93 53.29 52.27 48.90 46.49 46.73 47.68
Male 27.07 28.81 30.19 32.29 35.76 39.68 42.81 45.96 45.09 42.12 40.18 40.73 41.96
Female 41.59 44.21 45.72 47.44 50.66 54.41 57.23 60.82 59.66 55.87 52.98 52.91 53.58
Blagoevgrad 32.13 38.08 43.83 49.42 54.84 60.92 67.73 77.00 77.98 72.69 68.02 66.61 65.00
Male 26.81 31.92 36.77 41.48 46.50 52.07 58.59 65.78 66.53 62.11 58.23 57.61 57.02
Female 37.51 44.33 51.06 57.61 63.47 70.08 77.22 88.93 90.23 84.02 78.50 76.24 73.53
Burgas 31.39 34.26 36.32 38.75 43.76 49.12 53.28 56.22 54.35 50.74 48.16 49.02 49.59
Male 25.30 27.40 29.13 31.59 36.55 42.06 46.47 48.96 47.05 43.67 41.55 42.75 43.65
Female 37.55 41.24 43.65 46.04 51.07 56.25 60.13 63.56 61.75 57.92 54.87 55.39 55.66
Varna 29.92 31.49 32.75 34.85 39.70 45.32 50.14 54.28 52.95 49.94 47.99 49.77 51.22
Male 23.86 24.93 25.91 28.19 32.88 38.04 42.14 45.30 44.10 41.46 40.27 42.54 44.69
Female 36.12 38.22 39.79 41.69 46.72 52.85 58.48 63.75 62.31 58.92 56.17 57.45 58.15
Veliko Tarnovo 38.46 40.66 41.43 41.99 44.31 47.59 50.32 60.75 62.33 59.67 57.85 57.41 58.71
Male 30.78 32.33 32.94 33.51 36.17 39.30 42.16 50.88 52.09 49.96 48.87 49.22 51.26
Female 46.36 49.32 50.34 50.99 53.00 56.54 59.19 71.76 73.86 70.63 68.00 66.67 67.16
Vidin 51.06 51.09 51.94 55.81 62.90 68.96 71.97 73.67 72.59 68.80 67.77 68.84 68.69
Male 39.76 40.48 42.12 46.45 53.69 59.27 62.35 64.05 63.47 60.24 60.30 61.46 61.42
Female 63.56 62.77 62.70 66.08 73.03 79.72 82.66 84.35 82.68 78.30 76.03 77.05 76.81
Vratsa 39.63 41.99 44.39 48.44 53.01 56.40 58.11 59.63 59.76 58.06 56.47 56.10 55.70
Male 31.03 33.12 35.54 39.66 43.98 47.03 49.05 51.30 51.67 50.35 49.08 49.22 49.27
Female 48.93 51.59 53.97 57.95 62.83 66.66 68.02 68.67 68.57 66.49 64.57 63.64 62.73
Gabrovo 49.57 51.93 55.06 59.17 66.22 73.76 78.35 84.12 83.52 77.56 73.36 72.31 71.70
Male 38.09 39.84 42.49 46.52 53.50 60.73 66.55 73.75 75.16 70.10 66.44 65.65 65.43
Female 61.89 64.99 68.80 73.08 80.27 88.25 91.29 95.31 92.36 85.42 80.64 79.30 78.23
Dobrich 35.54 38.05 40.71 44.46 49.08 52.55 55.12 57.62 57.05 54.56 53.44 54.68 55.28
Male 28.16 29.74 32.07 35.72 40.09 43.44 46.29 49.69 49.51 47.44 46.73 48.36 49.18
Female 43.18 46.74 49.76 53.63 58.53 62.17 64.42 65.89 64.91 61.99 60.46 61.28 61.65
Kardzhali 33.27 39.60 44.91 49.10 53.47 59.80 65.05 67.89 67.25 62.25 58.71 57.79 57.38
Male 27.68 32.95 37.89 42.14 47.05 53.74 58.52 60.81 59.95 54.86 51.22 50.52 50.78
Female 39.17 46.64 52.31 56.39 60.09 65.98 71.71 75.13 74.71 69.80 66.39 65.24 64.13
Kyustendil 46.51 50.54 54.36 59.77 66.00 72.46 76.54 77.02 73.14 67.28 63.36 61.91 61.35
Male 36.52 39.82 43.44 48.57 54.36 61.35 66.51 68.56 65.65 60.46 57.05 55.52 54.75
Female 57.16 61.95 65.92 71.60 78.31 84.08 86.86 85.55 80.63 74.08 69.64 68.29 67.96
Lovech 45.76 47.86 50.01 54.01 58.54 61.74 62.12 62.45 60.94 58.24 57.14 57.69 57.89
Male 35.96 37.88 40.21 44.02 48.69 52.43 53.33 54.50 53.76 51.58 50.87 51.19 50.98
Female 56.32 58.54 60.44 64.67 69.06 71.61 71.40 70.77 68.42 65.18 63.67 64.50 65.18
Montana 44.03 45.02 45.98 47.85 51.28 53.42 54.27 55.05 54.86 52.74 50.93 50.77 51.42
Male 34.64 35.72 36.89 39.23 42.68 45.23 46.93 48.24 48.09 46.02 44.28 44.18 45.38
Female 54.07 54.94 55.66 56.96 60.35 62.02 61.89 62.06 61.85 59.68 57.83 57.61 57.67
Pazardzhik 33.32 37.81 41.70 45.61 49.20 52.88 56.31 59.16 57.92 54.67 52.48 52.09 52.18
Male 25.93 29.81 33.31 36.88 40.46 44.55 48.39 51.46 50.35 47.54 45.59 45.63 45.92
Female 41.09 46.26 50.55 54.83 58.42 61.60 64.53 67.14 65.79 62.08 59.65 58.81 58.70
Pernik 41.88 46.11 49.76 53.72 59.54 67.31 73.35 74.91 71.01 65.36 60.37 59.95 59.48
Male 33.07 36.46 39.28 42.96 48.46 56.13 62.58 65.07 61.83 56.72 52.70 52.79 52.99
Female 51.20 56.38 60.99 65.27 71.43 79.28 84.81 85.29 80.68 74.48 68.46 67.50 66.32
Pleven 43.99 46.35 47.36 48.94 51.41 52.96 53.06 53.55 52.35 49.37 47.28 46.99 46.92
Male 35.04 37.22 38.52 40.46 43.48 45.84 46.61 47.88 46.56 43.68 41.64 41.18 41.24
Female 53.42 55.87 56.50 57.62 59.44 60.07 59.43 59.06 57.98 54.91 52.78 52.67 52.45
Plovdiv 33.15 35.32 36.46 38.09 40.74 44.35 47.16 49.97 48.91 45.85 43.70 43.77 44.85
Male 26.03 27.77 28.76 30.60 33.40 37.07 40.03 42.34 41.43 38.81 37.09 37.62 39.10
Female 40.30 42.89 44.20 45.59 48.07 51.61 54.26 57.62 56.43 52.92 50.35 49.97 50.64
Razgrad 34.33 37.10 40.19 44.29 48.25 51.18 53.00 54.26 55.62 54.10 53.31 53.69 54.15
Male 27.04 29.42 32.81 37.26 41.39 44.49 46.60 47.65 48.71 47.39 46.58 46.72 47.09
Female 41.93 45.07 47.78 51.45 55.20 57.93 59.41 60.88 62.54 60.82 60.08 60.74 61.33
Ruse 37.61 39.13 40.44 42.10 45.30 48.05 50.27 53.73 54.50 51.87 50.17 50.86 51.57
Male 29.28 30.66 31.85 33.60 36.56 39.45 42.10 45.90 47.63 45.65 44.63 45.33 46.56
Female 46.48 48.19 49.74 51.37 54.93 57.58 59.31 62.40 62.05 58.70 56.23 56.94 57.03
Silistra 40.05 42.61 45.78 49.23 52.68 54.57 56.09 57.74 56.85 53.88 52.16 52.19 52.29
Male 32.01 33.94 37.06 40.95 44.51 46.85 49.42 51.67 50.73 47.72 46.46 46.46 46.35
Female 48.56 51.75 54.88 57.78 61.07 62.44 62.74 63.73 62.89 59.96 57.74 57.81 58.12
Sliven 32.91 35.03 36.57 37.17 38.58 40.20 40.52 40.35 38.58 36.23 35.16 35.02 35.56
Male 25.76 27.52 29.02 29.68 31.15 33.12 34.16 34.77 33.36 31.45 30.61 30.64 31.31
Female 40.28 42.80 44.40 44.98 46.36 47.64 47.17 46.15 44.02 41.22 39.92 39.61 40.03
Smolyan 40.10 50.06 59.27 67.15 74.12 83.34 93.03 100.85 98.16 90.99 84.53 83.63 79.64
Male 30.99 38.63 46.08 52.57 58.69 67.91 78.59 87.90 86.81 81.03 75.43 74.16 70.13
Female 49.77 62.43 73.66 83.28 91.36 100.56 108.98 114.97 110.46 101.73 94.31 93.92 90.08
Sofia (stolitsa) 26.22 26.65 26.14 26.73 29.35 33.13 36.46 41.40 41.04 38.15 36.18 37.19 39.48
Male 20.22 20.39 20.15 21.15 24.00 27.73 30.84 35.30 34.91 32.35 30.76 32.02 34.39
Female 32.13 32.85 32.09 32.25 34.65 38.49 42.06 47.50 47.18 43.96 41.60 42.39 44.62
Sofia 38.10 40.87 44.03 48.24 53.76 59.55 64.20 67.39 67.03 65.05 62.99 63.26 63.15
Male 30.16 32.54 35.51 39.37 44.38 50.21 55.04 58.93 58.76 57.28 56.34 57.06 57.01
Female 46.67 49.93 53.34 57.99 64.18 69.95 74.40 76.74 76.20 73.70 70.34 70.12 69.97
Stara Zagora 36.65 38.79 40.27 42.14 45.68 49.62 52.40 54.44 53.10 50.10 47.83 47.80 48.85
Male 28.52 30.10 31.47 33.80 37.75 42.24 45.75 47.51 45.82 42.93 41.09 41.30 42.57
Female 45.04 47.79 49.37 50.70 53.76 57.06 59.03 61.38 60.44 57.33 54.62 54.35 55.21
Targovishte 34.77 37.02 39.62 42.39 45.84 48.74 50.38 51.19 51.29 49.16 47.97 48.10 48.98
Male 27.42 29.68 32.27 35.32 39.11 42.22 44.09 45.50 45.53 43.21 42.08 42.13 43.05
Female 42.49 44.68 47.29 49.74 52.80 55.45 56.84 56.98 57.17 55.25 54.01 54.25 55.12
Haskovo 36.97 40.22 42.36 44.48 48.44 52.96 56.08 57.38 55.78 52.19 49.43 49.33 50.14
Male 29.34 32.17 33.86 35.85 40.00 44.54 48.39 49.88 48.92 45.67 43.08 43.00 44.08
Female 44.99 48.70 51.36 53.64 57.37 61.87 64.14 65.25 62.95 59.01 56.10 56.02 56.54
Shumen 33.86 37.05 39.57 42.77 47.69 52.21 56.21 61.04 62.27 59.57 58.20 58.63 59.84
Male 26.79 29.47 32.02 35.51 40.25 44.43 47.92 52.10 53.29 51.38 50.78 51.94 53.68
Female 41.29 45.09 47.60 50.51 55.67 60.62 65.27 70.91 72.21 68.62 66.40 66.01 66.64
Yambol 40.28 42.33 44.12 44.78 46.29 48.18 48.97 49.48 47.49 44.97 43.20 43.14 43.98
Male 32.57 34.24 35.79 36.40 38.00 40.33 41.79 42.64 41.06 39.07 37.67 37.88 38.94
Female 48.43 50.88 52.97 53.71 55.17 56.60 56.63 56.80 54.38 51.29 49.14 48.81 49.42
1 I variant (target): The variant is defined as realistic and is prepared according to the EU regulations on the member states demographic and social-economic development.
2 II variant (relative acceleration): The variant suggests that the country demographic development will be accompanied by the favourable social-economic processes.
3 III variant (relative delay): The prognosis on population development is done under the hypothesis for unfavourable social-economic processes in the country.
03.07.2018