6.2.3. Projected age dependency ratio by districts and sex until 2080

Statistical domain
Projected age dependency ratio by districts and sex until 2080
Time series
Pop_6.2.3_Pop_DR_EN.xls

PROJECTED AGE DEPENDENCY RATIO BY DISTRICTS AND SEX UNTIL 2090
(%)
Districts
Sex		 I variant (target)1
Years
2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 2070 2075 2080 2085 2090
Bulgaria 60.23 60.50 61.83 65.48 70.19 73.54 76.07 73.57 69.44 67.33 69.10 70.88 73.02 74.83
Male 52.09 52.39 54.02 57.85 62.62 66.05 68.32 65.94 62.25 60.75 63.03 65.32 67.90 69.95
Female 68.57 68.78 69.80 73.27 77.97 81.26 84.13 81.53 76.97 74.23 75.49 76.75 78.43 79.99
Blagoevgrad 59.42 64.16 68.68 73.87 80.14 86.16 92.14 90.58 86.73 84.49 85.24 85.64 87.03 87.51
Male 53.21 57.74 62.38 68.27 75.10 82.04 88.18 86.90 82.60 78.97 78.68 78.45 79.32 79.74
Female 65.68 70.54 74.86 79.24 84.91 89.99 95.79 93.96 90.52 89.63 91.44 92.50 94.47 95.09
Burgas 59.35 60.56 63.37 71.26 80.29 87.36 92.03 89.16 83.52 80.14 82.45 84.12 85.91 86.46
Male 52.91 54.08 57.08 64.87 74.10 81.16 84.48 81.10 75.43 71.92 73.97 75.51 77.55 78.43
Female 65.73 66.84 69.36 77.26 86.01 93.04 98.98 96.61 91.01 87.80 90.45 92.33 93.94 94.23
Varna 56.38 56.52 57.24 61.35 66.31 69.43 70.70 67.78 64.75 63.31 65.73 67.57 69.98 71.88
Male 50.35 51.08 52.25 55.86 59.54 61.21 60.81 57.28 54.14 53.36 56.06 58.47 61.32 63.45
Female 62.32 61.71 61.92 66.47 72.69 77.29 80.34 78.15 75.37 73.32 75.54 76.85 78.86 80.55
Veliko Tarnovo 65.76 65.96 67.33 72.27 77.97 80.46 80.91 75.16 69.08 67.24 68.52 69.57 70.62 71.14
Male 56.31 56.77 58.75 64.82 71.60 75.44 76.74 71.82 66.76 65.31 66.44 67.01 67.60 67.83
Female 75.40 75.18 75.82 79.52 84.09 85.21 84.81 78.28 71.21 69.02 70.45 71.96 73.46 74.27
Vidin 72.15 71.65 74.28 79.29 83.08 84.03 84.72 81.82 78.39 78.50 81.58 82.19 83.19 84.33
Male 60.11 59.76 63.21 69.19 73.75 75.84 76.91 74.48 71.77 73.07 77.10 78.44 79.00 80.25
Female 84.90 84.17 85.83 89.74 92.66 92.33 92.62 89.21 85.05 83.93 86.02 85.90 87.34 88.39
Vratsa 63.32 64.61 68.42 73.80 77.83 79.85 82.18 81.43 78.63 77.12 78.10 78.95 80.52 81.61
Male 54.90 56.50 61.55 68.23 73.09 76.31 78.97 78.07 74.32 71.91 72.16 73.03 74.26 75.14
Female 72.01 72.79 75.14 79.10 82.26 83.09 85.08 84.45 82.53 81.90 83.59 84.43 86.40 87.75
Gabrovo 70.87 72.13 75.30 81.18 87.05 88.26 88.90 84.33 79.71 77.75 78.84 78.64 78.92 79.65
Male 59.28 60.63 64.71 71.97 78.62 81.61 83.16 80.10 76.03 73.46 73.69 73.69 73.31 73.78
Female 82.85 84.00 86.12 90.46 95.49 94.79 94.50 88.39 83.24 81.90 83.91 83.51 84.49 85.51
Dobrich 65.40 68.06 72.66 80.02 85.87 88.83 91.06 87.17 80.80 77.83 80.02 80.86 82.56 83.33
Male 55.96 59.01 64.49 72.39 79.15 82.48 85.34 81.28 75.07 71.82 73.30 73.84 75.71 76.65
Female 75.03 77.14 80.73 87.48 92.37 94.94 96.51 92.79 86.29 83.64 86.59 87.82 89.38 90.03
Kardzhali 62.44 65.70 67.60 67.84 71.24 75.05 79.49 82.74 80.87 78.34 77.81 76.88 77.59 79.94
Male 57.51 62.36 66.41 68.75 73.63 77.88 81.29 81.46 76.73 72.32 71.45 70.54 71.25 73.52
Female 67.42 68.91 68.69 67.04 69.22 72.71 78.02 83.80 84.39 83.57 83.40 82.51 83.30 85.81
Kyustendil 67.55 69.16 73.07 78.34 84.52 88.38 92.35 90.26 86.21 83.40 84.52 85.47 86.47 87.96
Male 56.31 57.47 61.42 66.46 72.83 77.28 81.42 80.57 77.37 75.61 77.44 78.85 79.82 81.28
Female 79.40 81.44 85.26 90.83 96.79 100.00 103.83 100.39 95.47 91.55 91.93 92.42 93.49 95.04
Lovech 70.82 73.42 78.83 83.75 86.81 87.31 89.10 87.17 83.42 80.69 80.51 79.78 79.22 80.35
Male 59.66 62.32 67.51 73.19 77.45 79.33 82.42 81.51 78.49 76.46 76.12 75.46 75.26 76.37
Female 82.75 85.21 90.84 94.87 96.53 95.50 95.85 92.86 88.34 84.91 84.90 84.11 83.18 84.34
Montana 68.25 68.39 70.93 75.22 77.60 78.39 79.86 77.67 74.80 73.33 75.17 76.81 77.94 79.49
Male 56.54 56.95 60.48 65.09 68.37 70.31 72.37 70.65 68.13 66.59 68.39 70.18 71.55 73.35
Female 80.90 80.67 82.02 85.99 87.35 86.85 87.69 85.01 81.79 80.46 82.37 83.88 84.78 86.07
Pazardzhik 62.99 65.75 67.67 68.87 69.81 70.07 70.21 67.17 64.24 63.51 66.07 67.85 70.27 72.60
Male 53.00 54.79 55.91 56.76 57.47 57.81 57.97 55.65 53.67 54.54 58.56 61.46 64.88 67.91
Female 73.73 77.83 81.02 83.02 84.65 85.19 85.70 81.99 77.96 75.10 75.69 75.99 77.09 78.48
Pernik 63.43 63.97 64.22 68.69 76.19 82.26 87.25 85.30 81.17 77.85 80.44 82.92 87.45 89.12
Male 54.36 53.87 54.17 59.02 66.42 72.77 78.12 76.23 71.81 68.89 71.21 74.27 79.16 81.16
Female 72.64 74.26 74.41 78.39 86.00 91.76 96.37 94.40 90.67 86.98 89.98 91.89 96.09 97.46
Pleven 70.34 71.98 74.58 78.01 80.11 80.29 80.83 77.75 74.44 72.60 73.41 73.26 74.21 75.69
Male 60.19 62.44 65.86 70.14 73.48 74.34 75.59 72.71 69.09 66.85 67.11 66.94 67.62 69.30
Female 80.89 81.76 83.40 85.91 86.69 86.16 85.96 82.71 79.76 78.37 79.82 79.73 81.01 82.33
Plovdiv 58.73 58.40 59.18 61.40 64.90 67.14 68.70 66.47 63.39 62.17 63.98 65.63 67.35 69.16
Male 50.96 50.60 51.79 54.46 58.27 60.86 62.54 60.65 58.01 57.11 59.44 61.51 63.51 65.48
Female 66.56 66.32 66.71 68.50 71.72 73.63 75.09 72.55 69.02 67.50 68.75 69.97 71.40 73.04
Razgrad 61.39 64.98 69.80 75.33 80.53 83.76 86.25 87.80 84.43 82.44 82.96 84.01 85.51 86.95
Male 52.86 56.77 61.90 67.81 73.36 77.13 79.99 80.40 76.54 74.44 74.95 76.22 78.40 79.89
Female 70.05 73.18 77.57 82.63 87.40 90.04 92.15 94.83 91.98 90.16 90.73 91.60 92.45 93.91
Ruse 63.31 63.86 65.98 71.01 76.26 79.61 81.73 77.51 71.95 69.87 72.15 73.69 75.47 76.81
Male 53.67 54.03 56.66 62.23 68.13 72.16 74.30 70.56 65.74 64.10 66.31 68.48 70.65 71.76
Female 73.20 73.92 75.47 79.92 84.46 87.08 89.20 84.50 78.19 75.68 78.06 78.97 80.37 81.98
Silistra 68.45 72.73 77.27 81.52 83.85 85.01 86.70 83.72 77.94 74.53 74.33 74.52 75.41 76.68
Male 58.78 62.94 68.03 72.95 76.14 78.78 80.86 77.99 71.80 69.44 69.88 70.23 71.55 72.84
Female 78.49 82.76 86.59 90.07 91.46 91.05 92.34 89.26 83.92 79.47 78.62 78.67 79.16 80.42
Sliven 69.57 71.31 73.73 76.40 77.89 77.42 76.36 72.85 68.87 66.79 67.76 68.51 68.65 69.51
Male 61.73 63.69 66.42 69.60 71.77 72.47 72.35 69.52 66.18 64.29 65.06 65.74 65.89 66.56
Female 77.57 79.09 81.20 83.35 84.13 82.44 80.41 76.22 71.58 69.33 70.51 71.34 71.47 72.54
Smolyan 66.76 73.95 80.15 87.77 99.02 110.39 117.46 113.57 107.06 102.43 107.15 108.16 112.50 111.75
Male 54.78 60.33 65.67 72.39 83.75 95.42 102.16 99.07 93.94 89.68 92.79 93.20 95.14 95.30
Female 79.31 88.13 95.10 103.64 114.59 125.53 132.97 128.26 120.28 115.33 122.03 123.95 131.51 129.77
Sofia (stolitsa) 49.75 46.89 45.94 48.58 54.20 59.66 64.53 63.19 59.09 57.10 59.78 63.45 67.60 70.92
Male 42.86 40.00 39.06 41.49 46.57 51.35 55.37 54.19 51.04 50.41 54.38 59.10 64.16 67.89
Female 56.71 54.02 53.19 56.23 62.63 69.04 75.07 73.65 68.46 64.83 65.97 68.42 71.49 74.34
Sofia 62.72 65.15 67.95 72.03 76.53 79.05 81.32 79.31 76.16 73.05 73.43 74.20 75.93 77.61
Male 53.50 55.89 58.61 62.66 67.52 70.62 73.63 72.19 69.35 66.92 67.25 67.86 69.77 71.93
Female 72.59 75.05 78.00 82.17 86.31 88.22 89.67 87.07 83.63 79.81 80.30 81.32 82.86 84.01
Stara Zagora 63.82 63.89 64.83 69.24 74.31 76.88 77.77 73.70 69.28 67.17 69.39 71.58 74.13 75.57
Male 54.52 54.63 56.27 60.93 66.25 69.18 69.74 65.94 62.38 61.17 63.83 66.33 69.14 70.71
Female 73.47 73.52 73.72 77.90 82.75 84.96 86.29 81.99 76.65 73.59 75.35 77.23 79.53 80.81
Targovishte 63.15 65.17 68.65 72.46 75.93 77.78 78.74 77.12 73.38 71.79 72.77 73.48 73.42 74.20
Male 53.96 55.90 60.17 65.29 70.21 72.77 74.70 73.53 70.29 69.41 70.82 71.51 70.96 71.34
Female 72.80 74.87 77.41 79.74 81.64 82.72 82.67 80.61 76.35 74.06 74.64 75.36 75.78 76.97
Haskovo 66.13 67.86 71.22 77.72 85.07 89.70 92.03 88.83 84.74 82.65 84.82 87.01 88.17 89.40
Male 56.77 57.68 60.83 67.26 74.46 79.72 82.17 79.37 75.98 74.95 77.83 80.71 82.47 84.32
Female 75.97 78.77 82.49 89.18 96.86 100.81 103.15 99.57 94.74 91.45 92.84 94.24 94.71 95.21
Shumen 62.20 64.07 68.01 74.11 78.98 81.10 82.66 80.75 76.51 75.99 78.01 79.00 79.58 80.30
Male 53.49 55.97 60.73 67.57 72.65 75.26 77.22 75.57 71.50 71.14 73.10 74.16 75.06 75.54
Female 71.35 72.51 75.53 80.79 85.42 87.01 88.15 85.97 81.57 80.88 82.99 83.91 84.17 85.17
Yambol 72.34 75.14 77.64 80.67 83.07 82.97 82.35 77.17 71.85 69.02 69.40 69.78 69.72 70.35
Male 62.67 65.37 68.11 72.23 76.44 78.63 79.42 75.29 70.72 68.08 68.15 67.91 67.51 67.61
Female 82.46 85.24 87.39 89.17 89.60 87.14 85.13 78.94 72.91 69.89 70.57 71.54 71.82 72.97
Districts
Sex		 II variant (relative acceleration)2
Years
2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 2070 2075 2080 2085 2090
Bulgaria 60.39 61.29 63.60 68.48 74.60 79.41 83.43 81.94 78.28 76.34 78.33 80.15 82.24 84.36
Male 52.23 53.10 55.63 60.67 66.91 71.93 75.83 74.50 71.23 69.90 72.48 74.91 77.68 80.32
Female 68.74 69.67 71.76 76.50 82.53 87.16 91.37 89.75 85.71 83.14 84.52 85.71 87.08 88.63
Blagoevgrad 59.52 64.73 70.10 76.42 84.01 91.41 98.71 97.94 94.40 92.15 92.72 92.49 92.90 92.70
Male 53.30 58.27 63.71 70.70 78.84 87.23 94.82 94.44 90.46 86.71 86.07 85.09 85.03 84.93
Female 65.80 71.18 76.39 81.95 88.96 95.36 102.36 101.23 98.12 97.38 99.19 99.80 100.79 100.59
Burgas 59.48 61.25 64.96 74.09 84.64 93.38 99.66 97.83 92.51 88.86 90.63 91.40 92.04 91.92
Male 53.02 54.71 58.54 67.56 78.39 87.30 92.40 90.06 84.51 80.51 81.94 82.62 83.84 84.37
Female 65.89 67.61 71.11 80.28 90.49 99.05 106.48 105.17 100.13 96.89 99.11 100.10 100.25 99.52
Varna 56.51 57.17 58.72 63.88 70.06 74.47 77.07 75.11 72.69 71.52 74.32 76.39 79.15 81.68
Male 50.46 51.65 53.55 58.17 63.08 66.03 66.88 64.10 61.29 60.71 63.96 66.89 70.55 73.79
Female 62.46 62.47 63.58 69.24 76.71 82.63 87.14 86.19 84.32 82.63 85.08 86.34 88.21 90.04
Veliko Tarnovo 65.96 66.97 69.51 75.87 83.09 87.04 88.86 83.75 77.66 75.66 76.81 77.63 78.46 79.20
Male 56.48 57.67 60.72 68.16 76.54 82.01 84.86 80.58 75.45 73.69 74.59 74.76 75.12 75.63
Female 75.61 76.32 78.26 83.43 89.44 91.87 92.67 86.74 79.75 77.52 78.93 80.40 81.72 82.70
Vidin 72.42 72.93 77.13 84.03 89.77 92.59 94.91 92.85 89.39 89.06 91.71 91.65 91.78 92.45
Male 60.35 60.89 65.75 73.65 80.36 84.62 87.47 85.95 83.22 84.27 88.07 88.85 88.69 89.63
Female 85.22 85.65 89.07 94.86 99.53 100.77 102.52 99.89 95.68 93.91 95.37 94.46 94.90 95.31
Vratsa 63.50 65.56 70.59 77.50 83.20 86.81 90.66 90.83 88.05 86.06 86.62 86.95 87.67 88.10
Male 55.07 57.35 63.56 71.82 78.46 83.45 87.72 87.69 83.80 80.79 80.51 80.66 80.94 81.23
Female 72.21 73.89 77.51 82.98 87.70 89.95 93.37 93.73 92.01 91.07 92.50 93.05 94.30 94.95
Gabrovo 71.10 73.22 77.73 85.25 92.94 95.83 98.05 94.23 89.62 87.10 87.49 86.60 86.11 86.47
Male 59.47 61.54 66.73 75.54 84.05 88.92 92.21 90.03 85.90 82.70 82.30 81.62 80.53 80.63
Female 83.12 85.30 89.02 95.12 101.93 102.71 103.82 98.35 93.25 91.46 92.71 91.62 91.81 92.49
Dobrich 65.57 69.03 74.89 83.94 91.67 96.50 100.43 97.39 90.92 87.32 88.92 88.98 89.68 89.93
Male 56.10 59.84 66.46 75.96 84.67 89.99 94.72 91.47 85.02 81.07 81.97 81.63 82.64 83.27
Female 75.25 78.27 83.27 91.81 98.53 102.85 105.97 103.15 96.70 93.51 95.92 96.47 96.91 96.82
Kardzhali 62.65 66.73 69.84 71.50 76.45 81.84 87.83 92.51 91.52 89.37 88.89 87.72 87.97 90.07
Male 57.70 63.31 68.54 72.31 78.82 84.70 89.64 90.93 86.63 81.99 80.56 78.95 78.93 81.15
Female 67.67 70.04 71.05 70.79 74.41 79.41 86.29 93.89 95.89 96.13 96.63 96.01 96.69 98.85
Kyustendil 67.76 70.23 75.49 82.51 90.62 96.37 102.26 101.28 97.44 94.11 94.50 94.48 94.11 94.65
Male 56.50 58.44 63.65 70.39 78.83 85.45 91.78 92.24 89.31 87.22 88.52 89.06 88.84 89.54
Female 79.62 82.64 87.95 95.33 103.12 107.92 113.36 110.80 106.03 101.38 100.80 100.21 99.70 100.10
Lovech 71.01 74.35 80.90 87.20 91.66 93.46 96.36 94.99 91.05 87.73 87.01 85.67 84.28 84.86
Male 59.81 63.12 69.39 76.46 82.28 85.63 90.08 89.89 86.83 84.32 83.56 82.25 81.18 81.81
Female 82.99 86.29 93.18 98.59 101.51 101.57 102.79 100.16 95.33 91.17 90.50 89.15 87.43 87.98
Montana 68.47 69.51 73.40 79.29 83.32 85.75 88.70 87.37 84.64 82.87 84.59 85.88 86.39 87.55
Male 56.72 57.94 62.71 68.88 73.98 77.79 81.61 80.88 78.58 76.83 78.66 80.10 80.91 82.56
Female 81.16 81.97 84.80 90.42 93.28 94.16 96.17 94.19 91.05 89.31 90.93 92.08 92.27 92.90
Pazardzhik 63.16 66.60 69.59 72.09 74.42 76.03 77.39 75.05 72.44 72.00 75.07 77.16 79.90 82.86
Male 53.15 55.56 57.67 59.75 61.84 63.57 65.04 63.54 62.04 63.51 68.48 72.15 76.49 80.79
Female 73.91 78.78 83.13 86.50 89.52 91.32 92.86 89.64 85.70 82.70 83.24 83.29 84.01 85.30
Pernik 63.62 64.98 66.51 72.63 82.06 90.24 97.26 96.60 93.01 89.36 91.47 93.06 96.33 97.08
Male 54.53 54.78 56.26 62.72 72.12 80.76 88.45 88.05 84.13 80.84 82.72 84.96 88.89 90.43
Female 72.85 75.39 76.94 82.67 92.16 99.86 106.19 105.30 102.16 98.20 100.66 101.60 104.21 104.14
Pleven 70.52 72.95 76.70 81.49 84.95 86.35 87.99 85.55 82.32 80.24 80.86 80.40 80.98 82.43
Male 60.36 63.31 67.77 73.36 78.14 80.35 82.84 80.59 77.01 74.51 74.54 74.00 74.33 76.07
Female 81.09 82.86 85.79 89.71 91.76 92.35 93.12 90.49 87.68 86.10 87.40 87.08 87.99 89.16
Plovdiv 58.87 59.12 60.74 63.98 68.65 72.12 74.97 73.69 71.15 70.29 72.54 74.55 76.59 79.07
Male 51.09 51.25 53.20 56.87 61.89 65.83 68.94 68.05 65.93 65.34 68.17 70.66 73.14 75.96
Female 66.73 67.13 68.45 71.27 75.62 78.65 81.27 79.61 76.64 75.52 77.15 78.65 80.24 82.35
Razgrad 61.60 66.03 72.22 79.55 86.76 91.95 96.14 98.75 95.49 93.09 92.99 93.24 93.66 93.90
Male 53.04 57.71 64.14 71.83 79.49 85.37 90.08 91.60 87.80 85.36 85.23 85.59 86.66 87.36
Female 70.29 74.36 80.22 87.11 93.82 98.28 101.95 105.69 103.01 100.72 100.71 100.90 100.70 100.55
Ruse 63.51 64.89 68.27 74.86 81.82 86.93 90.80 87.54 82.14 79.88 82.09 83.31 84.66 86.01
Male 53.84 54.92 58.69 65.77 73.44 79.38 83.42 80.71 76.01 74.19 76.29 78.15 80.10 81.48
Female 73.43 75.12 78.07 84.14 90.34 94.58 98.30 94.49 88.38 85.71 88.08 88.65 89.39 90.73
Silistra 68.65 73.74 79.59 85.36 89.28 91.99 95.07 92.59 86.52 82.56 82.00 81.64 81.90 82.95
Male 58.96 63.82 70.09 76.50 81.33 85.66 89.19 86.88 80.35 77.46 77.51 77.09 77.80 79.21
Female 78.71 83.93 89.22 94.28 97.21 98.22 100.83 98.22 92.67 87.62 86.45 86.18 86.01 86.73
Sliven 69.69 71.90 74.95 78.34 80.59 80.73 80.08 76.61 72.46 70.06 70.79 71.34 71.37 72.52
Male 61.84 64.19 67.45 71.27 74.21 75.62 76.01 73.28 69.79 67.59 68.17 68.65 68.72 69.74
Female 77.72 79.79 82.65 85.60 87.14 85.96 84.22 80.00 75.18 72.59 73.49 74.11 74.12 75.40
Smolyan 66.95 75.05 82.91 92.75 106.66 120.58 129.66 126.66 120.30 115.03 118.12 116.63 117.65 114.64
Male 54.95 61.32 68.21 77.01 91.00 105.31 114.44 112.76 108.20 103.33 105.00 103.38 103.11 101.74
Female 79.53 89.37 98.17 109.12 122.81 136.26 145.37 141.01 132.73 127.14 132.01 130.92 133.84 129.00
Sofia (stolitsa) 49.87 47.51 47.29 50.91 57.76 64.68 71.35 71.49 68.35 67.09 70.70 75.17 80.04 84.49
Male 42.97 40.55 40.29 43.68 50.05 56.40 62.32 62.59 60.35 60.52 65.69 71.53 77.86 83.28
Female 56.85 54.70 54.68 58.72 66.27 73.98 81.68 81.73 77.56 74.59 76.36 79.22 82.44 85.83
Sofia 62.86 65.87 69.64 74.95 80.87 84.85 88.64 87.63 84.86 81.63 81.91 82.49 83.97 85.49
Male 53.62 56.53 60.13 65.36 71.71 76.43 81.21 80.94 78.59 76.16 76.49 76.95 78.75 80.90
Female 72.74 75.89 79.92 85.38 90.87 94.06 96.75 94.94 91.75 87.66 87.91 88.67 89.80 90.59
Stara Zagora 63.98 64.68 66.58 72.19 78.67 82.67 84.93 81.61 77.43 75.20 77.42 79.58 82.08 83.73
Male 54.65 55.31 57.82 63.64 70.44 74.96 77.03 74.02 70.67 69.35 72.13 74.73 77.80 79.91
Female 73.66 74.44 75.70 81.15 87.33 90.81 93.36 89.77 84.69 81.48 83.12 84.81 86.70 87.85
Targovishte 63.32 66.12 70.78 76.00 81.00 84.33 86.64 85.78 82.12 80.37 81.25 81.73 81.22 81.90
Male 54.12 56.76 62.10 68.66 75.27 79.47 82.96 82.67 79.50 78.36 79.57 79.95 78.85 79.14
Female 72.99 75.92 79.78 83.49 86.76 89.17 90.27 88.83 84.68 82.32 82.88 83.46 83.56 84.64
Haskovo 66.29 68.72 73.17 81.13 90.20 96.53 100.34 97.96 94.10 91.61 93.04 94.24 94.31 94.84
Male 56.92 58.49 62.67 70.57 79.60 86.80 91.00 89.23 86.15 84.73 87.01 89.05 90.02 91.47
Female 76.15 79.69 84.57 92.73 102.00 107.37 110.83 107.85 103.13 99.41 99.85 100.10 99.15 98.61
Shumen 62.38 64.97 70.06 77.63 84.13 87.87 90.93 89.94 85.92 85.29 87.09 87.65 87.61 88.12
Male 53.64 56.75 62.60 70.88 77.68 82.05 85.65 84.90 80.91 80.41 82.19 82.81 83.14 83.54
Female 71.57 73.55 77.80 84.56 90.74 93.81 96.31 95.06 91.03 90.29 92.12 92.63 92.23 92.88
Yambol 72.51 75.95 79.35 83.44 86.93 87.73 87.79 82.69 77.11 73.88 73.93 73.99 73.58 74.44
Male 62.82 66.08 69.65 74.75 80.07 83.21 84.78 80.82 75.98 72.87 72.49 71.77 70.95 71.30
Female 82.66 86.18 89.33 92.26 93.76 92.14 90.70 84.49 78.19 74.85 75.30 76.15 76.17 77.55
Districts
Sex		 III variant (relative acceleration)3
Years
2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 2070 2075 2080 2085 2090
Bulgaria 60.17 60.14 61.03 64.11 68.17 70.83 72.64 69.64 65.26 63.01 64.58 66.21 68.15 69.58
Male 52.03 52.07 53.29 56.57 60.65 63.34 64.84 61.97 58.07 56.45 58.48 60.53 62.76 64.30
Female 68.49 68.37 68.91 71.79 75.86 78.51 80.71 77.61 72.76 69.88 70.99 72.17 73.82 75.15
Blagoevgrad 59.38 63.90 68.03 72.69 78.32 83.63 88.92 86.88 82.74 80.35 81.05 81.56 83.18 83.70
Male 53.17 57.52 61.78 67.14 73.33 79.52 84.89 83.07 78.49 74.78 74.49 74.45 75.48 75.89
Female 65.63 70.25 74.14 77.99 83.03 87.44 92.61 90.34 86.61 85.48 87.16 88.24 90.49 91.17
Burgas 59.30 60.24 62.65 69.95 78.24 84.46 88.26 84.82 78.92 75.55 77.90 79.75 81.71 82.20
Male 52.86 53.80 56.41 63.62 72.08 78.19 80.59 76.64 70.82 67.44 69.55 71.22 73.24 73.89
Female 65.67 66.48 68.57 75.86 83.90 90.16 95.26 92.28 86.31 83.00 85.63 87.73 89.69 90.06
Varna 56.33 56.22 56.58 60.19 64.59 67.09 67.71 64.34 61.04 59.45 61.61 63.21 65.30 66.74
Male 50.31 50.82 51.66 54.80 57.91 58.98 58.01 54.16 50.88 49.99 52.37 54.42 56.74 58.26
Female 62.25 61.37 61.17 65.21 70.84 74.79 77.11 74.33 71.10 68.85 70.87 72.08 73.96 75.36
Veliko Tarnovo 65.68 65.50 66.33 70.62 75.61 77.39 77.18 71.12 65.04 63.23 64.46 65.44 66.37 66.59
Male 56.23 56.37 57.86 63.28 69.31 72.37 72.94 67.68 62.67 61.32 62.46 62.98 63.40 63.34
Female 75.29 74.65 74.69 77.74 81.62 82.11 81.13 74.29 67.19 64.96 66.28 67.70 69.11 69.62
Vidin 72.02 71.03 73.00 77.14 80.02 80.06 79.90 76.53 73.00 73.13 76.05 76.56 77.51 78.53
Male 60.00 59.23 62.09 67.22 70.73 71.78 71.93 69.08 66.21 67.46 71.11 72.33 72.74 73.76
Female 84.76 83.44 84.37 87.35 89.52 88.41 87.90 83.99 79.77 78.74 80.89 80.70 82.20 83.21
Vratsa 63.23 64.20 67.42 72.07 75.32 76.57 78.14 76.83 73.88 72.33 73.28 74.15 75.73 76.72
Male 54.82 56.13 60.63 66.58 70.58 72.94 74.77 73.32 69.52 67.14 67.41 68.38 69.65 70.33
Female 71.90 72.33 74.05 77.28 79.72 79.85 81.14 79.94 77.76 77.00 78.60 79.38 81.29 82.63
Gabrovo 70.79 71.61 74.21 79.32 84.34 84.65 84.53 79.55 74.87 72.98 74.13 74.01 74.34 74.93
Male 59.22 60.20 63.79 70.33 76.11 78.14 78.83 75.29 71.27 68.76 69.02 69.04 68.70 69.08
Female 82.74 83.39 84.83 88.35 92.52 91.00 90.04 83.61 78.28 77.03 79.09 78.83 79.86 80.69
Dobrich 65.32 67.62 71.63 78.21 83.15 85.21 86.59 82.22 75.78 72.91 75.09 76.10 77.88 78.52
Male 55.89 58.64 63.58 70.73 76.55 78.92 80.88 76.34 70.13 67.02 68.54 69.22 71.09 71.77
Female 74.94 76.62 79.55 85.49 89.49 91.21 91.98 87.77 81.13 78.53 81.40 82.80 84.53 85.17
Kardzhali 62.34 65.24 66.58 66.19 68.89 72.01 75.74 78.33 76.02 73.29 72.66 71.80 72.55 74.82
Male 57.42 61.94 65.43 67.12 71.26 74.76 77.48 77.07 72.14 67.77 67.04 66.37 67.15 69.25
Female 67.32 68.41 67.64 65.38 66.90 69.77 74.33 79.35 79.25 77.96 77.45 76.46 77.26 79.74
Kyustendil 67.47 68.69 71.96 76.43 81.67 84.52 87.58 84.84 80.52 77.69 78.81 79.91 81.09 82.54
Male 56.23 57.05 60.40 64.67 70.05 73.42 76.51 74.93 71.39 69.57 71.23 72.74 73.70 74.95
Female 79.30 80.90 84.03 88.75 93.83 96.09 99.14 95.14 90.02 86.13 86.69 87.39 88.85 90.55
Lovech 70.74 73.00 77.86 82.15 84.55 84.42 85.55 83.20 79.44 76.82 76.73 76.07 75.66 76.72
Male 59.58 61.95 66.66 71.69 75.22 76.39 78.72 77.29 74.21 72.22 71.92 71.35 71.24 72.21
Female 82.67 84.74 89.73 93.12 94.21 92.61 92.42 89.09 84.63 81.37 81.49 80.75 80.05 81.20
Montana 68.15 67.89 69.80 73.34 74.95 75.00 75.69 73.03 69.96 68.42 70.16 71.68 72.75 74.03
Male 56.45 56.52 59.47 63.32 65.78 66.87 68.05 65.82 63.08 61.43 63.12 64.71 65.90 67.34
Female 80.78 80.07 80.73 83.93 84.58 83.48 83.63 80.52 77.12 75.77 77.59 79.07 80.04 81.16
Pazardzhik 62.92 65.37 66.79 67.40 67.70 67.34 66.92 63.55 60.41 59.49 61.70 63.18 65.22 67.04
Male 52.94 54.44 55.10 55.39 55.50 55.23 54.80 52.12 49.89 50.45 53.94 56.33 59.06 61.29
Female 73.65 77.40 80.05 81.41 82.39 82.31 82.31 78.33 74.17 71.26 71.76 72.04 73.14 74.40
Pernik 63.34 63.50 63.18 66.89 73.46 78.51 82.40 79.69 75.21 71.77 74.34 76.86 81.39 83.02
Male 54.28 53.46 53.22 57.33 63.77 69.03 73.11 70.44 65.72 62.73 65.02 68.02 72.72 74.47
Female 72.54 73.70 73.23 76.44 83.15 87.96 91.62 88.90 84.76 80.91 83.87 85.93 90.34 91.88
Pleven 70.25 71.54 73.60 76.41 77.87 77.46 77.43 74.01 70.59 68.74 69.48 69.30 70.18 71.43
Male 60.11 62.05 64.98 68.66 71.31 71.54 72.16 68.94 65.25 63.03 63.24 63.03 63.61 65.01
Female 80.78 81.26 82.31 84.17 84.34 83.26 82.57 78.97 75.86 74.43 75.77 75.65 76.89 78.01
Plovdiv 58.67 58.08 58.47 60.23 63.20 64.86 65.81 63.16 59.83 58.44 59.99 61.40 62.83 64.19
Male 50.90 50.31 51.14 53.36 56.62 58.60 59.63 57.29 54.43 53.38 55.42 57.18 58.79 60.22
Female 66.49 65.95 65.93 67.23 69.94 71.31 72.22 69.26 65.46 63.74 64.78 65.83 67.07 68.37
Razgrad 61.31 64.52 68.69 73.40 77.63 79.90 81.51 82.34 78.79 76.77 77.26 78.36 79.93 81.47
Male 52.79 56.38 60.88 65.96 70.50 73.25 75.17 74.87 70.87 68.74 69.25 70.59 72.75 74.21
Female 69.96 72.64 76.35 80.59 84.44 86.16 87.44 89.37 86.30 84.42 84.92 85.82 86.84 88.51
Ruse 63.23 63.40 64.95 69.26 73.70 76.20 77.47 72.76 67.06 64.96 67.10 68.60 70.30 71.31
Male 53.59 53.62 55.74 60.62 65.69 68.78 70.03 65.82 60.90 59.27 61.32 63.36 65.27 65.96
Female 73.10 73.39 74.31 77.99 81.75 83.60 84.91 79.70 73.20 70.64 72.91 73.87 75.36 76.72
Silistra 68.37 72.28 76.22 79.71 81.32 81.78 82.81 79.52 73.74 70.41 70.30 70.57 71.53 72.62
Male 58.72 62.56 67.09 71.26 73.71 75.61 76.97 73.78 67.68 65.41 65.97 66.43 67.69 68.72
Female 78.37 82.21 85.39 88.09 88.78 87.73 88.40 85.01 79.59 75.19 74.42 74.52 75.20 76.37
Sliven 69.51 71.05 73.16 75.49 76.61 75.81 74.56 71.00 67.08 65.11 66.10 66.85 66.92 67.53
Male 61.69 63.47 65.95 68.83 70.61 70.96 70.60 67.69 64.42 62.63 63.41 64.07 64.12 64.52
Female 77.51 78.77 80.52 82.29 82.72 80.72 78.54 74.31 69.74 67.59 68.82 69.67 69.78 70.59
Smolyan 66.67 73.44 78.89 85.45 95.46 105.50 111.39 106.82 99.99 95.31 100.10 101.80 106.98 106.88
Male 54.70 59.87 64.48 70.23 80.40 90.70 96.11 92.12 86.58 82.26 85.29 86.21 88.47 88.87
Female 79.20 87.56 93.72 101.09 110.72 120.36 126.74 121.56 113.33 108.34 115.26 118.07 127.04 126.42
Sofia (stolitsa) 49.69 46.62 45.33 47.53 52.59 57.38 61.44 59.45 54.96 52.67 54.94 58.21 61.89 64.56
Male 42.81 39.75 38.51 40.51 45.00 49.08 52.26 50.46 46.97 46.03 49.45 53.59 57.91 60.76
Female 56.65 53.71 52.52 55.11 60.98 66.77 72.02 69.92 64.30 60.40 61.27 63.51 66.42 68.87
Sofia 62.66 64.81 67.18 70.67 74.50 76.31 77.83 75.28 71.86 68.68 68.95 69.62 71.26 72.74
Male 53.45 55.60 57.92 61.41 65.57 67.89 70.05 68.04 64.91 62.36 62.53 63.00 64.74 66.57
Female 72.52 74.66 77.12 80.67 84.15 85.43 86.26 83.16 79.49 75.62 76.08 77.05 78.60 79.70
Stara Zagora 63.75 63.53 64.04 67.89 72.29 74.17 74.38 69.93 65.37 63.24 65.32 67.35 69.67 70.73
Male 54.46 54.32 55.56 59.69 64.32 66.49 66.35 62.17 58.49 57.25 59.71 61.94 64.34 65.41
Female 73.39 73.11 72.83 76.42 80.62 82.22 82.90 78.20 72.71 69.63 71.33 73.16 75.42 76.48
Targovishte 63.06 64.74 67.69 70.85 73.61 74.79 75.11 73.04 69.17 67.56 68.47 69.16 69.04 69.67
Male 53.89 55.53 59.29 63.75 67.94 69.74 70.89 69.24 65.91 65.00 66.36 67.03 66.40 66.63
Female 72.70 74.37 76.35 78.03 79.22 79.75 79.19 76.70 72.29 69.97 70.47 71.16 71.55 72.56
Haskovo 66.05 67.47 70.32 76.12 82.65 86.40 87.95 84.21 79.89 77.79 80.00 82.31 83.56 84.71
Male 56.70 57.31 59.98 65.72 72.05 76.32 77.87 74.46 70.85 69.77 72.56 75.42 77.11 78.69
Female 75.89 78.34 81.52 87.51 94.40 97.63 99.30 95.29 90.22 86.97 88.55 90.25 91.02 91.66
Shumen 62.13 63.66 67.09 72.50 76.58 77.91 78.74 76.33 71.91 71.27 73.18 74.16 74.74 75.31
Male 53.43 55.62 59.89 66.05 70.30 72.07 73.27 71.07 66.88 66.40 68.25 69.28 70.10 70.37
Female 71.26 72.04 74.49 79.08 82.95 83.80 84.24 81.59 76.94 76.16 78.15 79.07 79.42 80.33
Yambol 72.27 74.78 76.85 79.39 81.23 80.73 79.80 74.56 69.31 66.64 67.08 67.54 67.46 67.87
Male 62.59 65.04 67.39 71.05 74.72 76.45 76.82 72.64 68.19 65.78 65.97 65.85 65.40 65.32
Female 82.39 84.84 86.51 87.75 87.62 84.81 82.60 76.35 70.35 67.44 68.10 69.10 69.37 70.27
1 I variant (target): The variant is defined as realistic and is prepared according to the EU regulations on the member states demographic and social-economic development.
2 II variant (relative acceleration): The variant suggests that the country demographic development will be accompanied by the favourable social-economic processes.
3 III variant (relative delay): The prognosis on population development is done under the hypothesis for unfavourable social-economic processes in the country.
14.11.2023