6.2.3. Projected age dependency ratio by districts and sex until 2080

Statistical domain
Projected age dependency ratio by districts and sex until 2080
Time series
Pop_6.2.3_Pop_DR_EN.xls

PROJECTED AGE DEPENDENCY RATIO BY DISTRICTS END SEX UNTIL 2080
(%)
Districts
Sex		 I variant (target)1
Years
2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 2070 2075 2080
Bulgaria 57.07 59.26 60.44 62.28 66.74 72.51 77.31 82.08 81.19 77.33 74.79 75.63 77.24
Male 50.23 51.95 53.04 55.07 59.67 65.60 70.66 75.30 74.55 71.06 68.96 70.11 72.02
Female 64.11 66.81 68.09 69.74 74.04 79.63 84.15 89.09 88.05 83.81 80.82 81.35 82.66
Blagoevgrad 55.16 61.07 66.66 71.29 77.12 84.90 93.83 105.09 106.25 100.12 95.08 94.12 92.72
Male 50.28 55.26 59.87 63.59 69.02 76.31 85.02 94.03 94.99 89.77 85.50 85.30 84.91
Female 60.10 66.97 73.62 79.24 85.51 93.83 103.00 116.86 118.31 111.21 105.35 103.55 101.07
Burgas 55.75 57.85 59.70 62.35 69.00 76.48 82.26 86.17 84.24 80.35 77.77 79.20 79.92
Male 50.07 51.27 52.79 55.55 62.22 70.00 76.22 79.70 77.70 73.95 71.77 73.54 74.58
Female 61.49 64.55 66.76 69.26 75.88 83.05 88.36 92.73 90.90 86.88 83.90 84.99 85.39
Varna 53.32 53.63 54.01 55.79 61.98 69.71 76.27 81.45 79.94 76.62 74.87 77.63 79.69
Male 47.71 47.48 47.45 49.46 55.50 62.81 68.65 72.78 71.37 68.33 67.29 70.59 73.48
Female 59.06 59.95 60.78 62.30 68.66 76.87 84.24 90.63 89.03 85.44 82.92 85.13 86.31
Veliko Tarnovo 59.56 62.40 62.41 61.96 64.48 69.11 73.31 86.03 88.02 84.93 83.08 83.22 85.34
Male 52.25 54.36 54.19 53.58 56.40 60.82 65.17 76.07 77.66 75.11 73.98 74.90 77.69
Female 67.08 70.77 71.03 70.86 73.13 78.08 82.16 97.12 99.67 96.00 93.33 92.59 93.98
Vidin 71.41 70.93 72.42 77.64 86.61 94.18 98.22 100.92 100.53 96.78 95.80 96.92 96.55
Male 59.58 59.93 62.35 67.93 77.06 84.18 88.47 91.26 91.32 88.07 88.37 89.75 89.57
Female 84.50 83.03 83.47 88.31 97.15 105.32 109.06 111.64 110.72 106.44 104.02 104.89 104.31
Vratsa 61.74 64.78 68.22 72.98 78.75 83.45 86.39 89.10 89.93 88.21 86.44 86.07 85.60
Male 53.11 55.83 59.22 64.01 69.54 73.90 77.26 80.85 81.90 80.57 79.18 79.42 79.44
Female 71.07 74.48 77.99 82.72 88.81 93.95 96.41 98.08 98.69 96.58 94.43 93.38 92.35
Gabrovo 68.90 71.03 74.27 79.00 87.70 97.39 103.68 111.13 111.18 105.00 100.75 99.96 99.35
Male 57.29 58.68 61.14 65.73 74.33 83.71 91.56 100.79 103.27 98.03 94.46 94.05 94.01
Female 81.37 84.37 88.64 93.61 102.50 112.65 117.02 122.29 119.56 112.37 107.38 106.19 104.94
Dobrich 57.74 59.81 62.80 67.50 73.64 78.59 82.33 85.88 85.76 83.35 82.41 84.13 84.81
Male 50.62 51.52 54.10 58.67 64.55 69.41 73.55 78.21 78.52 76.55 76.06 78.32 79.26
Female 65.13 68.49 71.94 76.78 83.23 88.32 91.62 93.91 93.34 90.47 89.07 90.22 90.62
Kardzhali 55.40 61.86 67.26 71.39 77.08 85.72 92.94 96.81 96.35 90.90 87.44 86.92 86.61
Male 49.98 55.31 60.27 64.50 70.91 80.11 86.96 90.35 89.71 84.13 80.46 80.08 80.51
Female 61.13 68.80 74.65 78.62 83.46 91.45 99.06 103.45 103.16 97.85 94.63 93.98 92.89
Kyustendil 66.52 70.88 75.44 82.26 90.69 99.59 105.65 107.31 103.78 97.71 93.70 92.17 91.33
Male 56.36 59.99 64.38 70.91 78.90 88.59 96.08 99.76 97.37 92.02 88.58 86.98 85.94
Female 77.36 82.49 87.16 94.29 103.21 111.14 115.54 114.97 110.23 103.42 98.83 97.38 96.76
Lovech 67.97 70.17 73.20 78.75 85.06 89.62 90.74 91.75 90.65 87.98 86.95 87.57 87.64
Male 57.75 59.95 63.39 68.68 75.18 80.46 82.24 84.28 84.09 81.97 81.42 81.84 81.43
Female 78.97 81.12 83.64 89.52 95.63 99.39 99.76 99.61 97.50 94.27 92.73 93.61 94.22
Montana 67.41 69.30 70.95 73.71 78.61 82.15 84.17 85.88 86.27 84.01 82.02 81.89 82.63
Male 58.05 60.03 61.63 64.96 69.93 74.07 77.20 79.64 80.09 77.86 75.96 75.94 77.30
Female 77.42 79.19 80.91 82.99 87.81 90.67 91.42 92.34 92.68 90.40 88.34 88.11 88.18
Pazardzhik 57.05 61.89 66.19 70.79 75.75 81.10 86.00 89.96 88.92 85.46 83.22 83.00 83.03
Male 49.84 53.94 57.90 62.14 67.13 73.05 78.55 82.88 82.02 79.04 77.02 77.22 77.45
Female 64.63 70.29 74.94 79.94 84.86 89.55 93.78 97.33 96.13 92.15 89.70 89.03 88.86
Pernik 61.96 66.08 70.17 74.67 82.48 93.11 101.54 104.31 100.45 94.60 89.47 89.43 88.80
Male 53.36 56.53 59.61 63.73 71.21 81.84 90.90 94.89 91.73 86.35 82.23 82.77 82.92
Female 71.05 76.23 81.51 86.44 94.63 105.24 112.92 114.30 109.69 103.38 97.15 96.49 95.01
Pleven 67.81 71.20 73.30 75.81 79.91 83.09 84.36 85.81 84.95 81.67 79.35 79.17 79.06
Male 58.81 62.11 64.47 67.47 72.32 76.62 78.85 81.40 80.44 77.27 74.97 74.59 74.59
Female 77.29 80.68 82.45 84.37 87.62 89.57 89.83 90.13 89.37 85.98 83.65 83.70 83.46
Plovdiv 56.64 59.16 59.98 61.56 65.34 70.94 75.50 79.53 78.51 75.04 72.86 73.45 75.06
Male 50.20 52.20 52.77 54.59 58.59 64.36 69.21 72.72 71.84 68.77 66.97 68.01 70.06
Female 63.11 66.16 67.24 68.57 72.11 77.53 81.80 86.40 85.25 81.37 78.82 78.97 80.15
Razgrad 55.82 58.93 62.70 67.72 72.93 77.24 80.25 82.42 84.57 83.12 82.43 83.07 83.68
Male 48.60 51.45 55.67 61.10 66.61 71.22 74.67 76.65 78.50 77.26 76.50 76.86 77.28
Female 63.34 66.71 69.93 74.49 79.37 83.33 85.87 88.24 90.70 89.04 88.43 89.40 90.23
Ruse 58.10 59.75 61.23 63.11 67.46 71.80 75.45 80.24 81.66 78.98 77.45 78.86 80.03
Male 49.79 51.37 52.44 54.29 58.29 62.74 66.89 72.09 74.66 72.68 71.95 73.38 75.18
Female 66.96 68.71 70.75 72.74 77.60 81.85 84.94 89.27 89.34 85.89 83.47 84.87 85.32
Silistra 62.50 65.40 69.36 73.73 78.85 82.37 85.29 88.05 87.54 84.36 82.68 83.08 83.20
Male 54.39 56.54 60.53 65.43 70.78 74.93 79.28 82.88 82.38 79.21 78.14 78.50 78.36
Female 71.08 74.73 78.59 82.31 87.16 89.96 91.33 93.17 92.67 89.48 87.17 87.60 87.99
Sliven 63.54 67.01 69.66 71.15 73.94 76.96 78.01 78.15 76.11 73.20 71.75 71.25 71.50
Male 56.64 59.77 62.40 63.84 66.62 70.01 71.93 72.99 71.29 68.80 67.54 67.21 67.57
Female 70.65 74.51 77.20 78.79 81.63 84.27 84.39 83.53 81.15 77.81 76.16 75.49 75.63
Smolyan 58.23 67.72 77.59 85.69 94.30 106.11 118.25 127.63 124.86 117.46 111.07 110.66 106.08
Male 48.96 56.10 64.38 70.97 78.60 90.45 103.84 115.13 114.30 108.47 102.96 102.15 97.50
Female 68.07 80.30 92.03 102.00 111.86 123.62 134.20 141.28 136.31 127.16 119.80 119.91 115.48
Sofia (stolitsa) 48.60 48.84 46.83 46.22 49.36 55.38 61.24 68.24 67.76 63.83 61.47 63.51 67.40
Male 43.37 43.25 41.44 41.19 44.55 50.59 56.30 62.85 62.28 58.59 56.54 58.81 62.80
Female 53.75 54.38 52.18 51.20 54.13 60.15 66.18 73.66 73.27 69.11 66.44 68.25 72.07
Sofia 59.71 62.19 65.68 70.39 77.26 84.72 90.84 95.17 95.30 93.49 91.48 91.99 91.76
Male 51.44 53.43 56.82 61.14 67.41 74.97 81.38 86.62 86.98 85.71 84.97 86.03 85.87
Female 68.65 71.73 75.38 80.60 88.23 95.60 101.38 104.64 104.54 102.16 98.66 98.56 98.28
Stara Zagora 60.78 63.24 64.63 66.89 71.90 77.73 82.04 85.09 83.87 80.60 78.21 78.44 79.74
Male 53.03 54.85 56.13 58.94 64.48 71.10 76.44 79.27 77.63 74.40 72.42 72.85 74.33
Female 68.80 71.93 73.42 75.07 79.49 84.46 87.66 90.95 90.18 86.89 84.08 84.11 85.25
Targovishte 58.37 61.10 64.18 67.84 72.66 77.01 79.80 81.35 81.89 79.65 78.49 78.78 79.78
Male 51.04 53.94 57.03 61.02 66.33 71.02 74.13 76.49 76.93 74.42 73.27 73.44 74.45
Female 66.08 68.58 71.65 74.94 79.22 83.21 85.63 86.32 86.97 85.02 83.87 84.31 85.32
Haskovo 60.43 63.93 66.14 68.91 74.63 81.22 85.82 87.88 86.41 82.63 79.80 79.94 80.83
Male 52.84 56.04 57.70 60.36 66.31 72.99 78.54 80.89 80.17 76.70 73.92 74.01 75.21
Female 68.42 72.25 75.09 77.99 83.44 89.96 93.48 95.25 92.96 88.85 86.00 86.23 86.79
Shumen 56.19 59.19 61.24 64.49 70.57 76.65 82.03 88.06 89.80 86.98 85.82 86.75 88.27
Male 49.29 51.67 53.72 57.20 63.08 68.78 73.61 78.96 80.65 78.64 78.25 79.96 82.09
Female 63.44 67.18 69.25 72.26 78.63 85.18 91.25 98.10 99.94 96.20 94.16 94.23 95.07
Yambol 65.49 68.55 71.12 72.63 75.70 79.20 81.05 82.22 80.17 77.42 75.51 75.48 76.29
Male 57.71 60.47 62.82 64.27 67.38 71.34 73.99 75.56 73.95 71.75 70.20 70.42 71.47
Female 73.72 77.09 79.94 81.56 84.64 87.64 88.61 89.36 86.85 83.52 81.23 80.94 81.50
Districts
Sex		 II variant (relative acceleration)2
Years
2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 2070 2075 2080
Bulgaria 57.23 59.93 61.89 64.68 70.20 77.13 83.13 89.23 89.31 85.91 83.48 84.34 85.78
Male 50.37 52.56 54.38 57.33 63.04 70.24 76.67 82.80 83.10 80.03 78.00 79.19 80.93
Female 64.29 67.56 69.66 72.29 77.64 84.29 89.84 95.92 95.77 92.04 89.20 89.72 90.85
Blagoevgrad 55.26 61.52 67.71 73.12 79.79 88.54 98.50 110.73 112.41 106.26 101.00 99.66 97.59
Male 50.36 55.69 60.88 65.41 71.73 80.06 89.97 100.20 101.91 96.82 92.34 91.76 90.63
Female 60.21 67.47 74.72 81.11 88.17 97.38 107.41 121.96 123.67 116.38 110.27 108.11 105.03
Burgas 55.88 58.42 60.92 64.39 72.06 80.71 87.73 92.85 91.73 88.16 85.46 86.66 86.95
Male 50.19 51.81 53.96 57.53 65.25 74.31 81.98 86.86 85.73 82.20 79.78 81.30 81.91
Female 61.63 65.16 68.05 71.40 79.02 87.23 93.57 98.97 97.88 94.29 91.29 92.20 92.16
Varna 53.46 54.21 55.24 57.82 65.00 73.89 81.76 88.40 87.96 85.26 83.65 86.50 88.35
Male 47.83 48.02 48.62 51.42 58.48 67.09 74.42 80.17 79.89 77.38 76.43 79.92 82.76
Female 59.21 60.58 62.09 64.44 71.74 80.98 89.47 97.14 96.55 93.68 91.35 93.54 94.31
Veliko Tarnovo 59.75 63.24 64.20 64.82 68.41 74.09 79.31 93.58 96.71 94.21 92.58 92.81 94.82
Male 52.42 55.15 55.89 56.31 60.23 65.83 71.40 84.17 87.14 85.28 84.44 85.54 88.09
Female 67.30 71.68 72.93 73.89 77.19 83.04 87.91 104.03 107.43 104.21 101.67 100.92 102.31
Vidin 71.68 72.00 74.65 81.35 91.88 100.91 106.27 110.12 110.50 106.48 104.58 104.60 102.81
Male 59.80 60.86 64.30 71.26 82.04 90.92 96.90 101.11 102.03 98.49 98.02 98.62 97.26
Female 84.83 84.28 86.04 92.49 102.79 112.09 116.72 120.14 119.88 115.32 111.80 111.19 108.92
Vratsa 61.93 65.59 70.00 76.01 83.15 89.14 93.31 97.08 98.63 96.87 94.60 93.63 92.43
Male 53.29 56.57 60.89 66.93 73.90 79.75 84.55 89.44 91.35 90.01 88.27 88.12 87.47
Female 71.28 75.39 79.91 85.91 93.28 99.52 102.95 105.42 106.58 104.37 101.53 99.65 97.84
Gabrovo 69.12 71.93 76.26 82.31 92.47 103.56 111.16 119.93 120.72 114.44 109.34 107.34 105.43
Male 57.49 59.50 62.95 68.80 78.89 89.96 99.44 110.38 113.98 108.72 104.45 103.13 101.77
Female 81.60 85.40 90.86 97.25 107.56 118.78 124.10 130.27 127.89 120.50 114.51 111.79 109.26
Dobrich 57.92 60.56 64.46 70.32 77.79 84.08 89.13 93.91 94.57 92.32 91.20 92.64 92.74
Male 50.78 52.20 55.63 61.34 68.58 74.90 80.53 86.70 87.91 86.12 85.55 87.67 88.08
Female 65.33 69.32 73.77 79.79 87.55 93.86 98.26 101.49 101.56 98.85 97.16 97.86 97.63
Kardzhali 55.53 62.43 68.55 73.62 80.36 90.24 98.64 103.43 103.51 98.11 94.43 93.44 92.39
Male 50.08 55.84 61.52 66.67 74.15 84.66 92.82 97.33 97.40 91.77 87.66 86.66 86.41
Female 61.28 69.42 76.00 80.92 86.81 95.99 104.64 109.73 109.82 104.66 101.46 100.49 98.60
Kyustendil 66.72 71.74 77.31 85.44 95.38 105.86 113.39 116.15 113.00 106.61 101.72 99.03 96.84
Male 56.54 60.77 66.14 73.98 83.55 95.05 104.36 109.41 107.50 101.79 97.54 94.81 92.46
Female 77.59 83.45 89.20 97.66 108.03 117.31 122.81 123.07 118.59 111.50 105.96 103.32 101.32
Lovech 68.17 70.98 74.93 81.67 89.26 95.02 97.16 99.05 98.37 95.48 93.89 93.94 93.42
Male 57.92 60.66 64.98 71.42 79.29 86.04 89.07 92.21 92.53 90.29 89.29 89.30 88.38
Female 79.21 82.06 85.57 92.68 99.98 104.64 105.79 106.29 104.51 100.93 98.71 98.83 98.78
Montana 67.63 70.20 72.85 76.82 82.97 87.62 90.62 93.26 94.24 91.94 89.47 88.81 89.04
Male 58.24 60.82 63.35 67.91 74.22 79.65 84.01 87.60 88.79 86.58 84.25 83.76 84.59
Female 77.68 80.22 83.02 86.32 92.30 96.09 97.57 99.15 99.94 97.56 94.95 94.14 93.71
Pazardzhik 57.20 62.54 67.60 73.17 79.21 85.73 91.78 96.65 96.05 92.57 90.12 89.53 88.91
Male 49.97 54.53 59.23 64.45 70.59 77.81 84.64 90.11 89.85 86.94 84.75 84.57 84.12
Female 64.81 71.01 76.45 82.43 88.38 94.10 99.27 103.49 102.56 98.47 95.77 94.75 93.95
Pernik 62.16 66.88 71.95 77.66 86.96 99.33 109.43 113.52 110.33 104.54 98.81 97.64 95.65
Male 53.54 57.25 61.24 66.51 75.52 88.07 99.07 104.72 102.44 97.14 92.36 91.79 90.71
Female 71.28 77.15 83.49 89.74 99.39 111.55 120.59 122.91 118.76 112.46 105.69 103.88 100.91
Pleven 68.00 72.00 74.99 78.56 83.73 87.85 89.96 92.18 91.80 88.45 85.76 85.19 84.70
Male 58.98 62.84 66.05 70.11 76.09 81.53 84.75 88.25 87.83 84.54 81.89 81.08 80.63
Female 77.52 81.57 84.28 87.28 91.55 94.26 95.18 96.07 95.73 92.33 89.62 89.31 88.80
Plovdiv 56.79 59.78 61.28 63.68 68.36 75.02 80.74 86.00 85.88 82.81 80.74 81.38 82.97
Male 50.33 52.77 53.99 56.62 61.57 68.50 74.66 79.53 79.62 76.92 75.15 76.22 78.25
Female 63.27 66.84 68.64 70.80 75.23 81.60 86.89 92.60 92.26 88.84 86.48 86.69 87.84
Razgrad 56.00 59.73 64.45 70.76 77.33 83.00 87.29 90.56 93.51 92.13 91.25 91.58 91.72
Male 48.76 52.15 57.27 63.96 70.84 76.94 81.82 85.00 87.62 86.40 85.51 85.57 85.52
Female 63.55 67.62 71.88 77.74 83.97 89.18 92.85 96.22 99.52 97.99 97.13 97.77 98.15
Ruse 58.29 60.55 62.95 65.95 71.48 77.00 81.90 88.14 90.77 88.62 87.21 88.69 89.73
Male 49.96 52.08 54.00 56.92 62.12 67.87 73.43 80.26 84.24 82.93 82.51 84.17 85.93
Female 67.18 69.62 72.67 75.83 81.86 87.17 91.31 96.87 97.94 94.86 92.34 93.63 93.86
Silistra 62.71 66.21 71.14 76.73 83.07 87.76 91.86 95.68 95.65 92.38 90.36 90.43 90.06
Male 54.57 57.27 62.17 68.30 74.89 80.37 86.09 91.00 91.08 87.82 86.54 86.58 85.81
Female 71.32 75.64 80.56 85.51 91.55 95.37 97.70 100.39 100.24 96.97 94.19 94.30 94.35
Sliven 63.66 67.51 70.68 72.76 76.19 79.83 81.38 81.92 80.08 77.17 75.58 74.90 75.02
Male 56.75 60.21 63.34 65.35 68.77 72.87 75.40 77.02 75.59 73.13 71.75 71.30 71.56
Female 70.79 75.07 78.32 80.52 84.01 87.19 87.66 87.04 84.78 81.42 79.60 78.69 78.67
Smolyan 58.38 68.45 79.35 88.87 99.14 112.71 126.39 136.79 134.32 126.48 119.34 117.59 110.97
Male 49.10 56.78 66.04 74.05 83.37 97.13 112.39 125.31 125.24 119.31 113.25 111.36 104.54
Female 68.25 81.09 93.93 105.35 116.84 130.17 141.93 149.36 144.17 134.22 125.88 124.34 117.99
Sofia (stolitsa) 48.74 49.41 48.04 48.19 52.23 59.31 66.39 75.13 76.05 73.01 71.18 73.84 78.27
Male 43.50 43.77 42.55 43.01 47.24 54.40 61.42 69.82 70.66 67.75 66.13 69.03 73.55
Female 53.90 55.02 53.51 53.36 57.20 64.24 71.39 80.50 81.52 78.36 76.32 78.76 83.11
Sofia 59.89 62.95 67.34 73.20 81.40 90.29 97.83 103.45 104.38 102.72 100.26 99.99 98.68
Male 51.60 54.12 58.37 63.84 71.51 80.70 88.81 95.64 96.97 95.99 95.01 95.44 94.29
Female 68.86 72.59 77.18 83.56 92.47 101.03 107.91 112.09 112.60 110.17 106.04 104.98 103.49
Stara Zagora 60.96 63.93 66.09 69.28 75.35 82.31 87.76 91.89 91.36 88.30 85.71 85.61 86.54
Male 53.18 55.48 57.48 61.19 67.84 75.75 82.49 86.61 85.72 82.62 80.36 80.44 81.48
Female 68.99 72.70 75.02 77.64 83.07 89.00 93.09 97.25 97.13 94.12 91.20 90.94 91.76
Targovishte 58.54 61.81 65.73 70.44 76.44 81.99 85.85 88.35 89.53 87.37 86.07 86.08 86.73
Male 51.19 54.57 58.48 63.48 70.01 76.02 80.36 83.83 85.01 82.57 81.26 81.15 81.75
Female 66.27 69.39 73.33 77.72 83.12 88.19 91.53 92.99 94.18 92.35 91.06 91.22 91.95
Haskovo 60.60 64.63 67.59 71.29 78.15 85.98 91.76 94.82 93.99 90.38 87.34 87.07 87.40
Male 52.98 56.67 59.07 62.64 69.77 77.77 84.71 88.27 88.34 85.02 81.94 81.63 82.29
Female 68.63 73.02 76.66 80.52 87.09 94.73 99.22 101.75 99.95 96.02 93.05 92.84 92.83
Shumen 56.36 59.91 62.81 67.13 74.44 81.76 88.44 95.80 98.50 95.95 94.66 95.29 96.30
Male 49.43 52.32 55.17 59.72 66.86 73.96 80.27 87.14 89.92 88.17 87.69 89.25 90.96
Female 63.64 67.98 70.96 75.06 82.60 90.23 97.39 105.36 107.99 104.52 102.30 101.90 102.13
Yambol 65.70 69.29 72.68 75.13 79.23 83.77 86.49 88.42 86.78 84.09 82.02 81.77 82.34
Male 57.88 61.14 64.30 66.66 70.81 75.94 79.66 82.16 81.13 79.08 77.44 77.50 78.38
Female 73.96 77.92 81.62 84.21 88.31 92.20 93.84 95.15 92.86 89.49 86.95 86.37 86.61
Districts
Sex		 III variant (relative acceleration)2
Years
2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065 2070 2075 2080
Bulgaria 56.99 58.95 59.76 61.14 65.07 70.26 74.43 78.49 77.05 72.91 70.23 70.94 72.50
Male 50.16 51.66 52.40 53.98 58.05 63.35 67.70 71.55 70.24 66.49 64.28 65.29 67.11
Female 64.02 66.46 67.35 68.51 72.30 77.36 81.33 85.64 84.07 79.52 76.36 76.77 78.06
Blagoevgrad 55.11 60.85 66.15 70.40 75.79 83.06 91.42 102.07 102.82 96.53 91.43 90.47 89.30
Male 50.23 55.06 59.38 62.72 67.68 74.43 82.49 90.78 91.23 85.82 81.50 81.35 81.18
Female 60.05 66.74 73.08 78.34 84.17 92.01 100.69 114.06 115.24 107.98 102.04 100.24 97.99
Burgas 55.69 57.59 59.12 61.36 67.51 74.40 79.53 82.76 80.35 76.24 73.64 75.04 75.82
Male 50.01 51.02 52.23 54.60 60.75 67.88 73.33 76.05 73.57 69.66 67.50 69.24 70.32
Female 61.42 64.27 66.14 68.24 74.36 80.99 85.75 89.53 87.24 82.94 79.86 80.94 81.44
Varna 53.25 53.36 53.43 54.82 60.53 67.67 73.56 77.96 75.86 72.20 70.29 72.90 74.92
Male 47.65 47.22 46.90 48.53 54.07 60.73 65.81 69.10 67.09 63.78 62.63 65.70 68.43
Female 58.99 59.66 60.16 61.28 67.17 74.86 81.64 87.31 85.13 81.13 78.42 80.54 81.81
Veliko Tarnovo 59.46 62.01 61.57 60.60 62.60 66.70 70.34 82.18 83.45 79.94 77.81 77.71 79.73
Male 52.15 53.99 53.39 52.29 54.57 58.41 62.12 71.99 72.80 69.81 68.39 69.05 71.76
Female 66.98 70.35 70.14 69.43 71.19 75.67 79.29 93.53 95.45 91.38 88.46 87.49 88.76
Vidin 71.29 70.44 71.35 75.87 84.02 90.81 94.05 95.99 95.06 91.18 90.35 91.76 91.64
Male 59.48 59.54 61.42 66.36 74.61 80.80 84.09 86.03 85.64 82.28 82.57 83.99 83.91
Female 84.34 82.44 82.22 86.31 94.38 101.95 105.11 107.04 105.49 101.05 98.96 100.39 100.27
Vratsa 61.64 64.40 67.38 71.53 76.60 80.64 82.92 84.95 85.29 83.41 81.67 81.36 80.99
Male 53.03 55.48 58.43 62.61 67.39 71.00 73.61 76.47 77.00 75.44 73.97 74.17 74.28
Female 70.96 74.06 77.08 81.19 86.63 91.20 93.10 94.16 94.31 92.12 90.13 89.25 88.33
Gabrovo 68.81 70.59 73.34 77.39 85.37 94.29 99.84 106.46 105.90 99.56 95.46 94.97 94.81
Male 57.21 58.30 60.30 64.27 72.13 80.62 87.49 95.71 97.37 91.98 88.43 88.23 88.56
Female 81.26 83.87 87.59 91.82 100.01 109.50 113.39 118.06 114.92 107.54 102.86 102.05 101.32
Dobrich 57.66 59.46 62.02 66.15 71.65 75.90 78.94 81.78 81.16 78.50 77.49 79.12 79.87
Male 50.55 51.20 53.37 57.40 62.61 66.72 70.07 73.92 73.70 71.44 70.82 72.87 73.85
Female 65.03 68.10 71.08 75.32 81.15 85.60 88.30 89.97 88.94 85.89 84.46 85.64 86.14
Kardzhali 55.34 61.59 66.65 70.32 75.46 83.47 90.05 93.37 92.50 86.90 83.37 82.97 82.88
Male 49.92 55.05 59.69 63.46 69.31 77.83 83.97 86.72 85.65 79.94 76.27 76.10 76.72
Female 61.07 68.51 74.00 77.50 81.80 89.22 96.25 100.16 99.50 94.01 90.65 90.02 89.19
Kyustendil 66.43 70.48 74.55 80.73 88.41 96.49 101.67 102.62 98.67 92.65 88.89 87.78 87.36
Male 56.28 59.61 63.54 69.43 76.65 85.39 91.85 94.64 91.80 86.47 83.25 82.01 81.35
Female 77.26 82.05 86.21 92.67 100.84 108.09 111.77 110.66 105.55 98.80 94.50 93.52 93.37
Lovech 67.87 69.78 72.35 77.33 83.00 86.95 87.49 87.99 86.53 83.78 82.80 83.55 83.75
Male 57.66 59.60 62.61 67.34 73.14 77.71 78.81 80.26 79.61 77.40 76.81 77.26 76.95
Female 78.87 80.69 82.71 88.00 93.54 96.76 96.67 96.09 93.74 90.43 89.05 90.14 90.93
Montana 67.30 68.86 70.05 72.23 76.52 79.45 80.88 82.05 82.01 79.67 77.68 77.56 78.31
Male 57.96 59.64 60.80 63.54 67.88 71.31 73.75 75.57 75.53 73.22 71.24 71.18 72.53
Female 77.29 78.69 79.90 81.41 85.64 87.99 88.27 88.73 88.68 86.33 84.36 84.19 84.29
Pazardzhik 56.98 61.59 65.51 69.63 74.04 78.77 83.05 86.44 85.06 81.45 79.19 78.96 79.12
Male 49.78 53.67 57.26 61.01 65.43 70.67 75.46 79.11 77.81 74.65 72.60 72.82 73.14
Female 64.55 69.96 74.21 78.73 83.11 87.25 90.94 94.05 92.59 88.53 86.04 85.35 85.34
Pernik 61.86 65.69 69.33 73.23 80.31 90.04 97.51 99.45 95.12 89.11 84.16 84.41 84.23
Male 53.29 56.19 58.85 62.37 69.13 78.78 86.72 89.69 86.04 80.56 76.60 77.35 77.84
Female 70.93 75.79 80.57 84.88 92.32 102.09 108.99 109.75 104.69 98.15 92.13 91.87 90.96
Pleven 67.72 70.82 72.50 74.49 78.05 80.73 81.55 82.53 81.34 78.02 75.76 75.58 75.49
Male 58.73 61.77 63.71 66.22 70.48 74.20 75.87 77.87 76.57 73.35 71.14 70.75 70.81
Female 77.19 80.26 81.57 82.96 85.70 87.26 87.14 87.06 85.98 82.56 80.26 80.30 80.06
Plovdiv 56.57 58.87 59.36 60.55 63.89 68.96 72.93 76.31 74.81 71.09 68.80 69.28 70.80
Male 50.13 51.93 52.19 53.62 57.17 62.36 66.54 69.33 67.95 64.66 62.79 63.73 65.65
Female 63.03 65.84 66.57 67.50 70.61 75.55 79.30 83.31 81.70 77.55 74.84 74.87 75.99
Razgrad 55.73 58.56 61.86 66.27 70.83 74.42 76.72 78.23 79.84 78.21 77.46 78.05 78.64
Male 48.52 51.11 54.90 59.75 64.56 68.41 71.10 72.39 73.69 72.26 71.47 71.76 72.20
Female 63.25 66.29 69.01 72.92 77.20 80.49 82.34 84.07 86.00 84.16 83.49 84.41 85.19
Ruse 58.01 59.36 60.41 61.76 65.55 69.28 72.28 76.32 77.07 74.04 72.33 73.51 74.62
Male 49.71 51.01 51.69 53.04 56.47 60.27 63.71 68.08 69.87 67.51 66.50 67.63 69.32
Female 66.85 68.29 69.83 71.26 75.55 79.26 81.78 85.44 84.98 81.21 78.70 79.96 80.40
Silistra 62.43 65.01 68.51 72.29 76.79 79.71 81.98 84.12 83.21 79.98 78.33 78.66 78.86
Male 54.32 56.19 59.75 64.06 68.74 72.24 75.83 78.77 77.82 74.51 73.43 73.76 73.73
Female 71.00 74.30 77.65 80.77 85.03 87.31 88.12 89.40 88.53 85.39 83.14 83.46 83.90
Sliven 63.48 66.76 69.17 70.35 72.81 75.52 76.28 76.17 73.96 71.01 69.57 69.11 69.34
Male 56.59 59.53 61.94 63.09 65.54 68.58 70.14 70.90 69.01 66.47 65.22 64.89 65.22
Female 70.59 74.24 76.67 77.92 80.43 82.80 82.70 81.66 79.13 75.75 74.12 73.54 73.67
Smolyan 58.15 67.39 76.75 84.16 91.94 102.83 114.02 122.63 119.50 111.87 105.53 105.57 101.76
Male 48.89 55.79 63.55 69.50 76.32 87.20 99.48 109.71 108.24 102.02 96.57 96.11 92.17
Female 67.98 79.93 91.16 100.38 109.39 120.26 130.07 136.72 131.70 122.46 115.17 115.85 112.28
Sofia (stolitsa) 48.53 48.57 46.26 45.28 48.01 53.51 58.79 64.96 63.81 59.49 56.88 58.61 62.21
Male 43.31 43.01 40.93 40.34 43.29 48.78 53.86 59.53 58.32 54.29 52.04 54.01 57.68
Female 53.67 54.09 51.55 50.18 52.68 58.21 63.69 70.38 69.31 64.70 61.73 63.22 66.77
Sofia 59.62 61.83 64.90 69.04 75.24 81.95 87.26 90.80 90.38 88.31 86.28 86.88 86.91
Male 51.37 53.11 56.10 59.84 65.43 72.14 77.62 81.92 81.64 80.05 79.21 80.25 80.29
Female 68.55 71.31 74.51 79.15 86.15 92.87 97.99 100.61 100.07 97.50 94.09 94.21 94.26
Stara Zagora 60.71 62.91 63.93 65.74 70.23 75.48 79.18 81.61 79.94 76.49 74.09 74.32 75.64
Male 52.96 54.54 55.48 57.84 62.84 68.80 73.41 75.54 73.42 70.06 68.08 68.55 70.04
Female 68.71 71.57 72.67 73.84 77.76 82.23 84.94 87.70 86.51 82.98 80.14 80.14 81.29
Targovishte 58.29 60.76 63.44 66.57 70.84 74.59 76.76 77.75 77.89 75.48 74.24 74.51 75.53
Male 50.95 53.62 56.36 59.85 64.55 68.56 71.02 72.72 72.74 70.06 68.86 68.99 70.02
Female 66.00 68.21 70.82 73.56 77.35 80.80 82.64 82.87 83.13 81.04 79.78 80.20 81.23
Haskovo 60.35 63.61 65.45 67.76 72.92 78.89 82.84 84.33 82.43 78.49 75.66 75.84 76.80
Male 52.76 55.75 57.06 59.26 64.65 70.64 75.44 77.11 75.89 72.27 69.56 69.69 70.91
Female 68.33 71.89 74.33 76.77 81.67 87.62 90.60 91.91 89.26 84.99 82.08 82.33 83.03
Shumen 56.12 58.86 60.49 63.22 68.70 74.12 78.78 84.06 85.16 82.04 80.73 81.56 83.16
Male 49.23 51.36 53.03 56.00 61.23 66.22 70.25 74.77 75.78 73.48 72.95 74.51 76.62
Female 63.36 66.81 68.43 70.91 76.71 82.66 88.09 94.30 95.56 91.51 89.33 89.33 90.39
Yambol 65.42 68.18 70.38 71.44 73.99 76.99 78.35 79.09 76.78 73.90 71.91 71.85 72.70
Male 57.65 60.12 62.13 63.12 65.70 69.13 71.20 72.24 70.31 67.95 66.31 66.47 67.50
Female 73.63 76.70 79.14 80.31 82.86 85.41 85.98 86.42 83.72 80.28 77.94 77.66 78.32
1 I variant (target): The variant is defined as realistic and is prepared according to the EU regulations on the member states demographic and social-economic development.
2 II variant (relative acceleration): The variant suggests that the country demographic development will be accompanied by the favourable social-economic processes.
3 III variant (relative delay): The prognosis on population development is done under the hypothesis for unfavourable social-economic processes in the country.
03.07.2018